Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 26/09, 22:00

Prediction: Delfines Del Este vs Atlantico FC

Team pages: Delfines Del Este · Atlantico FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Delfines Del Este2.19

Atlantico FC0.56

1X2

76% 15% 9%

Delfines Del Este Draw Atlantico FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Delfines Del Este 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWLWD

Atlantico FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLLLL

Head-to-head

Delfines Del Este 0–5–1 Atlantico FC (6 last)

Atlantico FC0-0Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este3-3Atlantico FC
Atlantico FC1-1Delfines Del Este
Delfines Del Este1-1Atlantico FC
Delfines Del Este2-2Atlantico FC
Atlantico FC2-1Delfines Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Delfines Del Este 1539 · Atlantico FC 1436

	Delfines Del Este	Draw	Atlantico FC
Our model	74%	18%	7%
Market	77%	13%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Delfines Del Este (rating 1539 vs 1436).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Delfines Del Este	Atlantico FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	0.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.7	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:56 +27’	1.17	7.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Delfines Del Este 0–5–1 Atlantico FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este
18/10/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	3-3 HT 2-0	Atlantico FC
09/08/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Delfines Del Este
22/02/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	1-1 HT 0-0	Atlantico FC
14/08/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Delfines Del Este	2-2 HT 1-2	Atlantico FC
21/07/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Delfines Del Este

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Delfines Del Este	Atlantico FC
Moca FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Atletico Vega Real	1-0 W	0-5 L
Universidad O&M	0-1 L	2-0 W
Jarabacoa FC	1-0 W	0-2 L
Cibao FC	1-0 W	1-4 L
Salcedo FC	2-1 W	1-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Delfines Del Este (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Delfines Del Este

DWLWDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
20/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
05/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	10	9	L
29/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
22/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
09/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
03/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	9	9	L
25/04	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/04	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-2	8	7	D

Atlantico FC

LWLWDDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-3	0-5	2	4	L
06/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-3	1-6	4	4	L
29/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-3	1-4	3	6	L
25/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
17/12	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
14/12	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
06/12	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
23/11	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
09/11	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	0-5	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Delfines Del Este vs Atlantico FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Delfines Del Este win (76%). Probabilities: Delfines Del Este 76%, draw 15%, Atlantico FC 9%.

How many goals are expected in Delfines Del Este vs Atlantico FC?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Delfines Del Este 2.19 · Atlantico FC 0.56), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Delfines Del Este vs Atlantico FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.