Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 27/09, 22:00

Prediction: Universidad O&M vs Salcedo FC

Team pages: Universidad O&M · Salcedo FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Universidad O&M1.21

Salcedo FC1.59

1X2

28% 27% 45%

Universidad O&M Draw Salcedo FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Universidad O&M 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Salcedo FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Universidad O&M 0–6 Salcedo FC (6 last)

Salcedo FC3-1Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M1-3Salcedo FC
Universidad O&M1-2Salcedo FC
Salcedo FC2-0Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M2-3Salcedo FC
Salcedo FC1-0Universidad O&M

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad O&M 1446 · Salcedo FC 1593

	Universidad O&M	Draw	Salcedo FC
Our model	28%	27%	45%
Market	28%	27%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salcedo FC (rating 1446 vs 1593).
H2H favours Salcedo FC: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universidad O&M	Salcedo FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.30

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:46 +39’	3.20	3.30	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad O&M 0–0–6 Salcedo FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Salcedo FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Universidad O&M
09/04/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	1-3 HT 1-2	Salcedo FC
31/03/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	1-2 HT 1-2	Salcedo FC
21/02/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Salcedo FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Universidad O&M
18/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	2-3 HT 1-1	Salcedo FC
02/11/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Salcedo FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Universidad O&M

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universidad O&M	Salcedo FC
Cibao FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Jarabacoa FC	4-0 W	2-0 W
Delfines Del Este	1-0 W	1-2 L
Moca FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Atletico Vega Real	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad O&M (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad O&M

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
30/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
24/04	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/04	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-3	7	2	L
12/04	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
09/04	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-3	4	4	L

Salcedo FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
19/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
06/09	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-0	6-1	4	4	W
30/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	3-1	6	3	W
27/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
23/08	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
25/05	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-2	2	8	L
17/05	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
09/05	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
03/05	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	1	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad O&M vs Salcedo FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Salcedo FC win (45%). Probabilities: Universidad O&M 28%, draw 27%, Salcedo FC 45%.

How many goals are expected in Universidad O&M vs Salcedo FC?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Universidad O&M 1.21 · Salcedo FC 1.59), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Universidad O&M vs Salcedo FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.