Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 27/09, 00:00

Prediction: Atletico Vega Real vs Moca FC

Team pages: Atletico Vega Real · Moca FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Atletico Vega Real1.03
Moca FC1.2
1X2
31% 29% 40%
Atletico Vega Real Draw Moca FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Vega Real 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDWLLWLW
Moca FC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
LDLDDDDWWD
Head-to-head
Atletico Vega Real 0–2–4 Moca FC (6 last)
  • Moca FC0-0Atletico Vega Real
  • Moca FC2-1Atletico Vega Real
  • Atletico Vega Real1-2Moca FC
  • Moca FC1-0Atletico Vega Real
  • Moca FC3-2Atletico Vega Real
  • Atletico Vega Real0-0Moca FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Vega Real 1490 · Moca FC 1519
Atletico Vega RealDrawMoca FC
Our model30%31%39%
Market32%27%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Moca FC: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico Vega RealMoca FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.30.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.60.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.32 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 04.3 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Vega Real 0–2–4 Moca FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/08/26
Dominican Republic Liga
Moca FC0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Vega Real
01/11/25
Dominican Republic Liga
Moca FC2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Vega Real
17/08/25
Dominican Republic Liga
Atletico Vega Real1-2
HT 1-1
Moca FC
22/02/25
Dominican Republic Liga
Moca FC1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Vega Real
15/06/24
Dominican Republic Liga
Moca FC3-2
HT 2-0
Atletico Vega Real
06/05/24
Dominican Republic Liga
Atletico Vega Real0-0
HT 0-0
Moca FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico Vega RealMoca FC
Jarabacoa FC 3-1 W 1-0 W
Delfines Del Este 0-1 L 1-1 D
Cibao FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Salcedo FC 1-3 L 0-0 D
Universidad O&M 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Moca FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Vega Real

WLWDWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/09 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
2-1 3-1 35 W
20/09 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-1 58 L
13/09 Atlantico FC
Dominican Republic Liga
3-0 5-0 84 W
06/09 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
1-1 1-2 410 L
30/08 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 1-3 63 L
26/08 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
2-1 2-1 45 W
22/08 Moca FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 22 D
18/12 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
3-2 4-3 47 W
12/12 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-2 56 L
05/12 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
2-0 3-0 23 W

Moca FC

LDLDDDDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/09 Delfines Del Este
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-1 13 D
14/09 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 2-1 38 W
06/09 Jarabacoa FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 1-0 47 W
30/08 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 93 D
27/08 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 32 D
22/08 Atletico Vega Real
Dominican Republic Liga
0-0 0-0 72 D
24/04 Universidad O&M
Dominican Republic Liga
1-0 1-1 22 D
11/04 Atletico Pantoja
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-3 55 L
02/04 Cibao FC
Dominican Republic Liga
2-1 2-2 19 D
21/03 Salcedo FC
Dominican Republic Liga
0-1 0-1 68 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Vega Real vs Moca FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Moca FC win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Vega Real 31%, draw 29%, Moca FC 40%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Vega Real vs Moca FC?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Atletico Vega Real 1.03 · Moca FC 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Vega Real vs Moca FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.