Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: Sport Clube Gaucho vs Santa Cruz RS

Team pages: Sport Clube Gaucho · Santa Cruz RS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Sport Clube Gaucho1.02

Santa Cruz RS1.06

1X2

33% 32% 35%

Sport Clube Gaucho Draw Santa Cruz RS

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sport Clube Gaucho 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWDLLL

Santa Cruz RS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWWLDD

Head-to-head

Sport Clube Gaucho 1–2 Santa Cruz RS (3 last)

Sport Clube Gaucho0-2Santa Cruz RS
Santa Cruz RS4-2Sport Clube Gaucho
Sport Clube Gaucho2-0Santa Cruz RS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sport Clube Gaucho 1451 · Santa Cruz RS 1523

	Sport Clube Gaucho	Draw	Santa Cruz RS
Our model	33%	33%	34%
Market	34%	31%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Cruz RS (rating 1451 vs 1523).
H2H favours Santa Cruz RS: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sport Clube Gaucho	Santa Cruz RS
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X2.90

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.25 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:44 +37’	3.00	2.90	2.25
23:12 +8’	2.63▼	2.90	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Clube Gaucho 1–0–2 Santa Cruz RS

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Sport Clube Gaucho	0-2 HT 0-1	Santa Cruz RS
04/07/21 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3	Santa Cruz RS	4-2 HT 1-1	Sport Clube Gaucho
01/07/21 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3	Sport Clube Gaucho	2-0 HT 0-0	Santa Cruz RS

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	14	8	5	1	21	9	29
2	Veranopolis	14	7	4	3	12	6	25
3	Uniao Frederiquense	14	6	6	2	16	9	24
4	CE Bento Goncalves	14	6	6	2	17	11	24
5	Brasil de Farroupilha	13	5	7	1	13	7	22
6	Santa Cruz RS	14	5	7	2	14	10	22
7	APAFUT	14	5	6	3	18	13	21
8	Brasil de Pelotas	12	5	5	2	12	6	20
9	Aimore RS	14	5	5	4	13	13	20
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	14	3	6	5	15	20	15
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	14	3	3	8	11	15	12
12	EC Pelotas	12	2	6	4	11	15	12
13	GE Bage	14	2	6	6	9	18	12
14	GE Gloria	13	2	5	6	10	15	11
15	Gramadense	14	1	7	6	9	18	10
16	Lajeadense	14	1	2	11	5	21	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sport Clube Gaucho	Santa Cruz RS
Lajeadense	0-1 L	3-1 W
Veranopolis	0-0 D	3-0 W
GE Bage	1-1 D	1-0 W
Uniao Frederiquense	0-1 L	0-0 D
Guarani de Venancio Aires	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Cruz RS (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Clube Gaucho

WLLLDWDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
19/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
17/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
13/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
11/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
06/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/09	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
23/08	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
20/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
16/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	3-1	4	5	W

Santa Cruz RS

WLWDDWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
19/09	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/09	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
13/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
06/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
23/08	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	3-0	3	9	W
20/08	Passo Fundo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
16/08	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	2-1	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Clube Gaucho vs Santa Cruz RS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Santa Cruz RS win (35%). Probabilities: Sport Clube Gaucho 33%, draw 32%, Santa Cruz RS 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Clube Gaucho vs Santa Cruz RS?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Sport Clube Gaucho 1.02 · Santa Cruz RS 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Clube Gaucho vs Santa Cruz RS?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.