Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: Aimore RS vs CE Bento Goncalves

Team pages: Aimore RS · CE Bento Goncalves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Aimore RS1.15

CE Bento Goncalves0.86

1X2

42% 31% 27%

Aimore RS Draw CE Bento Goncalves

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Aimore RS 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDDDWL

CE Bento Goncalves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDDWLWW

Head-to-head

Aimore RS 3–2–1 CE Bento Goncalves (6 last)

CE Bento Goncalves0-1Aimore RS
Aimore RS1-0CE Bento Goncalves
CE Bento Goncalves1-1Aimore RS
CE Bento Goncalves1-3Aimore RS
Aimore RS0-0CE Bento Goncalves
CE Bento Goncalves2-1Aimore RS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aimore RS 1526 · CE Bento Goncalves 1519

	Aimore RS	Draw	CE Bento Goncalves
Our model	41%	33%	26%
Market	43%	30%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Aimore RS: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aimore RS	CE Bento Goncalves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.4	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:19 +2’	2.10	3.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aimore RS 3–2–1 CE Bento Goncalves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Brazil Copa Gaucho	CE Bento Goncalves	0-1 HT 0-0	Aimore RS
12/11/25 Brazil Copa Gaucho	Aimore RS	1-0 HT 0-0	CE Bento Goncalves
27/09/25 Brazil Copa Gaucho	CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 HT 1-0	Aimore RS
29/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	1-3 HT 1-2	Aimore RS
27/01/23 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Aimore RS	0-0 HT 0-0	CE Bento Goncalves
21/08/21 Brazil Serie D	CE Bento Goncalves	2-1 HT 1-1	Aimore RS

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	14	8	5	1	21	9	29
2	Veranopolis	14	7	4	3	12	6	25
3	Uniao Frederiquense	14	6	6	2	16	9	24
4	CE Bento Goncalves	14	6	6	2	17	11	24
5	Brasil de Farroupilha	13	5	7	1	13	7	22
6	Santa Cruz RS	14	5	7	2	14	10	22
7	APAFUT	14	5	6	3	18	13	21
8	Brasil de Pelotas	12	5	5	2	12	6	20
9	Aimore RS	14	5	5	4	13	13	20
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	14	3	6	5	15	20	15
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	14	3	3	8	11	15	12
12	EC Pelotas	12	2	6	4	11	15	12
13	GE Bage	14	2	6	6	9	18	12
14	GE Gloria	13	2	5	6	10	15	11
15	Gramadense	14	1	7	6	9	18	10
16	Lajeadense	14	1	2	11	5	21	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aimore RS	CE Bento Goncalves
Uniao Frederiquense	0-2 L	2-0 W
Passo Fundo RS	1-1 D	1-2 L
EC Pelotas	0-0 D	1-1 D
Gramadense	2-0 W	3-1 W
Brasil de Pelotas	0-1 L	2-1 W
Sport Clube Gaucho	1-0 W	2-1 W
GE Bage	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aimore RS

WWLWLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
19/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/09	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
13/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	3	10	D
10/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
06/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	2-3	2	5	L
02/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
23/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
20/08	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
15/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	1	6	W

CE Bento Goncalves

WWDLDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
19/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
17/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
12/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
10/09	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
05/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
02/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
20/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
16/08	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aimore RS vs CE Bento Goncalves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aimore RS win (42%). Probabilities: Aimore RS 42%, draw 31%, CE Bento Goncalves 27%.

How many goals are expected in Aimore RS vs CE Bento Goncalves?

The model expects 2 goals (Aimore RS 1.15 · CE Bento Goncalves 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Aimore RS vs CE Bento Goncalves?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.