Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 09/10, 19:00
Prediction: Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa
Team pages: Galatasaray · Kasimpasa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Galatasaray2.55
Kasimpasa0.79
1X2
Galatasaray
Draw
Kasimpasa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Galatasaray
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Kasimpasa
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Galatasaray
3–2–1
Kasimpasa
(6 last)
- Kasimpasa1-0Galatasaray
- Galatasaray3-0Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa3-3Galatasaray
- Galatasaray3-3Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa3-4Galatasaray
- Galatasaray2-1Kasimpasa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Galatasaray 1535 · Kasimpasa 1519
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kasimpasa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 17% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Galatasaray: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Galatasaray | Kasimpasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.7 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Galatasaray 3–2–1 Kasimpasa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Galatasaray |
| 21/12/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Galatasaray | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Kasimpasa |
| 02/03/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Galatasaray |
| 28/09/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Galatasaray | 3-3 HT 3-1 | Kasimpasa |
| 17/03/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 3-4 HT 1-1 | Galatasaray |
| 03/11/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Galatasaray | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Kasimpasa |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amedspor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Caykur Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Corum Belediyespor | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 7 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Galatasaray | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Kocaelispor | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Corum Belediyespor | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Galatasaray
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 16 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 11 | W |
Kasimpasa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 13 | L |
| 03/05 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/04 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Galatasaray win (75%). Probabilities: Galatasaray 75%, draw 17%, Kasimpasa 9%.
How many goals are expected in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Galatasaray 2.55 · Kasimpasa 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.