Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 19/10, 19:00
Prediction: Trabzonspor vs Besiktas
Team pages: Trabzonspor · Besiktas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Trabzonspor1.64
Besiktas1.69
1X2
Trabzonspor
Draw
Besiktas
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Trabzonspor
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Besiktas
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trabzonspor
1–2–3
Besiktas
(6 last)
- Besiktas1-2Trabzonspor
- Trabzonspor3-3Besiktas
- Besiktas2-1Trabzonspor
- Trabzonspor1-1Besiktas
- Besiktas3-2Trabzonspor
- Besiktas2-0Trabzonspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trabzonspor 1535 · Besiktas 1567
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Besiktas: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trabzonspor | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 3.3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trabzonspor 1–2–3 Besiktas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Trabzonspor |
| 14/12/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Trabzonspor | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Besiktas |
| 15/02/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Trabzonspor |
| 15/09/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Trabzonspor | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Besiktas |
| 23/05/24 Türkiye Cup | Besiktas | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Trabzonspor |
| 04/02/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Besiktas | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Trabzonspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Corum Belediyespor | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Caykur Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trabzonspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
Besiktas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 14 | L |
| 11/09 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 6-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trabzonspor vs Besiktas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Besiktas win (38%). Probabilities: Trabzonspor 36%, draw 26%, Besiktas 38%.
How many goals are expected in Trabzonspor vs Besiktas?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Trabzonspor 1.64 · Besiktas 1.69), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Besiktas?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.