Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 17/10, 18:00
Prediction: Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor
Team pages: Fenerbahce · Alanyaspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Fenerbahce1.98
Alanyaspor1.02
1X2
Fenerbahce
Draw
Alanyaspor
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Fenerbahce
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Alanyaspor
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fenerbahce
4–2–0
Alanyaspor
(6 last)
- Alanyaspor2-3Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce2-2Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor0-2Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce3-0Alanyaspor
- Fenerbahce2-2Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor0-1Fenerbahce
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenerbahce (rating 1597 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Fenerbahce: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.4 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenerbahce 4–2–0 Alanyaspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Alanyaspor | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Fenerbahce |
| 17/09/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Alanyaspor |
| 09/02/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Alanyaspor | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Fenerbahce |
| 30/08/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Alanyaspor |
| 11/02/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Alanyaspor |
| 24/09/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Alanyaspor | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Fenerbahce |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Caykur Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
| 12 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Corum Belediyespor | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Caykur Rizespor | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Eyupspor | 8-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Besiktas | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fenerbahce (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fenerbahce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/09 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
5-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/09 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
Alanyaspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fenerbahce win (59%). Probabilities: Fenerbahce 59%, draw 23%, Alanyaspor 18%.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Fenerbahce 1.98 · Alanyaspor 1.02), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.