Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 18/10, 12:30
Prediction: Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
Team pages: Kasimpasa · Samsunspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Kasimpasa1.64
Samsunspor0.92
1X2
Kasimpasa
Draw
Samsunspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kasimpasa
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Samsunspor
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kasimpasa
3–1–2
Samsunspor
(6 last)
- Kasimpasa3-0Samsunspor
- Kasimpasa0-1Samsunspor
- Samsunspor0-0Kasimpasa
- Samsunspor0-2Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa1-4Samsunspor
- Kasimpasa1-0Samsunspor
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasimpasa (rating 1516 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Kasimpasa: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kasimpasa | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasimpasa 3–1–2 Samsunspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Europe Friendlies | Kasimpasa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Samsunspor |
| 30/01/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Samsunspor |
| 17/09/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Samsunspor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kasimpasa |
| 29/03/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Samsunspor | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Kasimpasa |
| 26/10/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Samsunspor |
| 27/04/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Kasimpasa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Samsunspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Corum Belediyespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Caykur Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 12 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kasimpasa | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Corum Belediyespor | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Trabzonspor | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Kocaelispor | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kasimpasa (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasimpasa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 13 | L |
| 03/05 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Samsunspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-3 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kasimpasa win (53%). Probabilities: Kasimpasa 53%, draw 27%, Samsunspor 20%.
How many goals are expected in Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Kasimpasa 1.64 · Samsunspor 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.