Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 18/10, 18:00
Prediction: Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Team pages: Istanbul Basaksehir · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Istanbul Basaksehir2.04
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK1.13
1X2
Istanbul Basaksehir
Draw
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Istanbul Basaksehir
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Istanbul Basaksehir
5–1
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
(6 last)
- Gazisehir Gaziantep FK1-2Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir5-1Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
- Istanbul Basaksehir2-1Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
- Gazisehir Gaziantep FK3-0Istanbul Basaksehir
- Gazisehir Gaziantep FK0-2Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir2-0Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Istanbul Basaksehir 1507 · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1455
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Istanbul Basaksehir (rating 1507 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Istanbul Basaksehir: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.6 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Istanbul Basaksehir 5–0–1 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 22/12/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK |
| 20/04/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK |
| 23/11/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 24/02/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 07/10/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Corum Belediyespor | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Caykur Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Istanbul Basaksehir | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Fenerbahce | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Istanbul Basaksehir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 07/09 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
4-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Istanbul Basaksehir win (57%). Probabilities: Istanbul Basaksehir 57%, draw 23%, Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 20%.
How many goals are expected in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Istanbul Basaksehir 2.04 · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.