Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Kocaelispor vs Goztepe

Team pages: Kocaelispor · Goztepe

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Kocaelispor1.17
Goztepe1.28
1X2
33% 28% 39%
Kocaelispor Draw Goztepe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Kocaelispor 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWWLWL
Goztepe 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDLLLDDW
Head-to-head
Kocaelispor 2–2–0 Goztepe (4 last)
  • Kocaelispor1-1Goztepe
  • Goztepe0-0Kocaelispor
  • Kocaelispor3-2Goztepe
  • Goztepe0-1Kocaelispor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kocaelispor 1499 · Goztepe 1502
KocaelisporDrawGoztepe
Our model32%30%38%
Market34%27%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Kocaelispor: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KocaelisporGoztepe
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.91.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.82.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.14.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kocaelispor 2–2–0 Goztepe

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Türkiye Super Lig
Kocaelispor1-1
HT 0-1
Goztepe
23/11/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Goztepe0-0
HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
03/04/24
Türkiye 1 Lig
Kocaelispor3-2
HT 0-1
Goztepe
04/11/23
Türkiye 1 Lig
Goztepe0-1
HT 0-1
Kocaelispor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 8611 171119
2 Amedspor 8521 18917
3 Besiktas 7502 16815
4 Fenerbahce 7412 19613
5 Trabzonspor 7412 16513
6 Corum Belediyespor 8413 181313
7 Alanyaspor 7331 8612
7 Kocaelispor 7403 8612
9 Erzurumspor FK 8323 51111
10 Kasimpasa 7241 8810
11 Caykur Rizespor 8314 81110
12 Istanbul Basaksehir 7223 10118
13 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 7223 7108
14 Genclerbirligi 8224 7168
15 Goztepe 7133 15156
16 Konyaspor 8125 495
17 Samsunspor 7115 6154
18 Eyupspor 8107 2223

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKocaelisporGoztepe
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 2-0 W 2-4 L
Galatasaray 0-1 L 2-3 L
Samsunspor 1-0 W 3-3 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kocaelispor (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kocaelispor

DLLLWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
1-2 1-2 73 L
19/09 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 2-0 13 W
13/09 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 34 L
06/09 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-0 41 W
29/08 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-1 45 W
24/08 Amedspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 32 W
16/08 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 –– L
17/05 Antalyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 412 L
09/05 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 32 L
03/05 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-1 51 D

Goztepe

DWLDLLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/10 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 4-0 75 W
20/09 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-2 46 D
12/09 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-2 34 D
07/09 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
0-4 2-4 86 L
29/08 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-3 24 L
23/08 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 63 L
17/08 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-2 3-3 84 D
16/05 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-3 47 L
09/05 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-1 84 W
02/05 Trabzonspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-1 310 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Goztepe win (39%). Probabilities: Kocaelispor 33%, draw 28%, Goztepe 39%.

How many goals are expected in Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Kocaelispor 1.17 · Goztepe 1.28), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.