Football · Argentina Championship Women · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: Belgrano (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)

Team pages: Belgrano (W) · San Lorenzo (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Belgrano (W)1.2

San Lorenzo (W)0.86

1X2

42% 32% 25%

Belgrano (W) Draw San Lorenzo (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Belgrano (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLWWWL

San Lorenzo (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWWWD

Head-to-head

Belgrano (W) 1–1–4 San Lorenzo (W) (6 last)

San Lorenzo (W)0-0Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)2-0San Lorenzo (W)
San Lorenzo (W)1-0Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)2-3San Lorenzo (W)
San Lorenzo (W)1-0Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)0-3San Lorenzo (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Lorenzo (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belgrano (W)	San Lorenzo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	44/56/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.97

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.82 → 2.82	Pinn 2.82
X	2.79 → 2.79	Pinn 2.79
2	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:59 +19’	2.82	2.79	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano (W) 1–1–4 San Lorenzo (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Argentina Championship Women	San Lorenzo (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
14/02/25 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	San Lorenzo (W)
05/08/24 Argentina Championship Women	San Lorenzo (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
12/03/24 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	San Lorenzo (W)
22/08/23 Argentina Championship Women	San Lorenzo (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Belgrano (W)
13/03/23 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	San Lorenzo (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Luis FC (W)	9	7	0	2	19	11	21
2	Banfield (W)	9	5	3	1	14	7	18
3	Belgrano (W)	9	5	1	3	17	8	16
4	Boca Juniors (W)	8	5	1	2	11	7	16
5	San Lorenzo (W)	8	4	3	1	13	6	15
6	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	8	4	3	1	12	6	15
7	Social Atletico Television (W)	9	4	3	2	9	6	15
8	Lanus (W)	8	4	2	2	8	7	14
9	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	9	4	1	4	16	16	13
10	River Plate (W)	5	3	1	1	9	3	10
11	Racing Club (W)	8	3	1	4	13	9	10
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	9	2	3	4	9	15	9
13	CA Independiente Women	10	3	0	7	12	24	9
14	Huracan (W)	9	2	1	6	8	14	7
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	9	1	0	8	3	17	3
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	9	0	1	8	3	20	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belgrano (W)	San Lorenzo (W)
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	3-1 W	2-2 D
Boca Juniors (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Lanus (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
San Luis FC (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Social Atletico Television (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belgrano (W)

WLWWDLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
11/09	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
05/09	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
30/08	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
22/08	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
16/08	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	10	0	D
10/08	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	1-0	6-0	4	4	W
02/08	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
26/07	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
17/07	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	–	2-1	–	–	W

San Lorenzo (W)

WLWDLDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-1	9	1	D
04/09	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
30/08	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	3-0	4-0	1	3	W
24/08	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
17/08	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
10/08	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
03/08	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	2-2	2	7	D
27/07	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/07	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/07	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belgrano (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Belgrano (W) 42%, draw 32%, San Lorenzo (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Belgrano (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Belgrano (W) 1.2 · San Lorenzo (W) 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Belgrano (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.