Football · Argentina Championship Women · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Banfield (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)
Team pages: Banfield (W) · Newell's Old Boys (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Banfield (W)1.82
Newell's Old Boys (W)0.71
1X2
Banfield (W)
Draw
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield (W)
1–2–1
Newell's Old Boys (W)
(4 last)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-2Banfield (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)2-2Banfield (W)
- Banfield (W)1-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)2-0Banfield (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield (W) 1579 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1401
| Banfield (W) | Draw | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 24% | 13% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banfield (W) (rating 1579 vs 1401).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/56/0% | 0/44/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.9 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield (W) 1–2–1 Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Banfield (W) |
| 03/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Banfield (W) |
| 27/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 10/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Banfield (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Belgrano (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | River Plate (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Racing Club (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | Huracan (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club (W) | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Lanus (W) | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Banfield (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Banfield (W) 63%, draw 23%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 13%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Banfield (W) 1.82 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.