Football · Argentina Championship Women · 28/09, 14:00
Prediction: Social Atletico Television (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)
Team pages: Social Atletico Television (W) · Gimnasia LP (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Social Atletico Television (W)1.43
Gimnasia LP (W)0.7
1X2
Social Atletico Television (W)
Draw
Gimnasia LP (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Social Atletico Television (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia LP (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Social Atletico Television (W)
1–3–2
Gimnasia LP (W)
(6 last)
- Gimnasia LP (W)1-1Social Atletico Television (W)
- Gimnasia LP (W)0-0Social Atletico Television (W)
- Social Atletico Television (W)2-0Gimnasia LP (W)
- Gimnasia LP (W)1-0Social Atletico Television (W)
- Gimnasia LP (W)0-0Social Atletico Television (W)
- Gimnasia LP (W)2-1Social Atletico Television (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Social Atletico Television (W) 1526 · Gimnasia LP (W) 1436
| Social Atletico Television (W) | Draw | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Social Atletico Television (W) (rating 1526 vs 1436).
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Social Atletico Television (W) | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 0/56/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Social Atletico Television (W) 1–3–2 Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 19/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 09/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | Social Atletico Television (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 23/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 04/02/23 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 14/08/22 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | San Luis FC (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Belgrano (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | River Plate (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Racing Club (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 9 |
| 14 | Huracan (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Social Atletico Television (W) | Gimnasia LP (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis FC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| CA Independiente Women | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Social Atletico Television (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Social Atletico Television (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/09 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/09 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Social Atletico Television (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Social Atletico Television (W) 54%, draw 28%, Gimnasia LP (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Social Atletico Television (W) 1.43 · Gimnasia LP (W) 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.