Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 28/10, 18:00

Prediction: Atalanta U23 vs Vis Pesaro

Team pages: Atalanta U23 · Vis Pesaro

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Atalanta U231.9
Vis Pesaro1.13
1X2
54% 25% 21%
Atalanta U23 Draw Vis Pesaro
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Atalanta U23 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLLLWL
Vis Pesaro 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atalanta U23 1478 · Vis Pesaro 1398
Atalanta U23DrawVis Pesaro
Our model54%24%21%
Market54%25%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atalanta U23 (rating 1478 vs 1398).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atalanta U23Vis Pesaro
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.4 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.21.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.13.9 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spezia 11920 19529
2 Ravenna 11722 20623
3 Grosseto 11641 231322
4 Pescara 11533 151318
5 Torres 11533 131218
6 AC Reggiana 11524 141117
7 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 11443 141216
8 Livorno 11443 161616
9 Perugia 11515 151716
10 Campobasso 11434 162015
11 FC Vado 11434 121115
12 US Latina Calcio 11353 111114
13 ASD Pineto Calcio 11353 91114
14 Forli 11263 161612
15 Atalanta U23 10406 111512
16 Sambenedettese 11245 161810
17 AS Ostia Mare 11236 10149
18 US Pianese 11164 6109
19 Gubbio 11218 10217
20 Vis Pesaro 10118 10244

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtalanta U23Vis Pesaro
US Latina Calcio 0-2 L 0-1 L
Ravenna 0-2 L 0-4 L
Pescara 2-1 W 0-2 L
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Atalanta U23 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atalanta U23

LWLWWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 63 L
18/10 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 2-0 54 W
14/10 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 0-2 27 L
11/10 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 1-2 63 L
20/09 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-2 54 L
16/09 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 3-2 16 W
12/09 Pescara
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 2-1 43 W
06/09 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 45 L
30/08 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-1 13 W
21/08 FC Vado
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 0-2 82 L

Vis Pesaro

LDLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-3 0-4 38 L
18/10 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 45 L
10/10 Grosseto
Italy Serie C Group B
1-2 2-3 45 L
27/09 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
2-1 2-1 21 W
21/09 Spezia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 1-3 22 L
16/09 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie C Group B
0-3 1-4 85 L
12/09 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 05 L
05/09 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-2 54 L
30/08 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 2-2 44 D
22/08 Pescara
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atalanta U23 vs Vis Pesaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atalanta U23 win (54%). Probabilities: Atalanta U23 54%, draw 25%, Vis Pesaro 21%.

How many goals are expected in Atalanta U23 vs Vis Pesaro?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Atalanta U23 1.9 · Vis Pesaro 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atalanta U23 vs Vis Pesaro?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.