Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 01/11, 17:30

Prediction: US Latina Calcio vs US Pianese

Team pages: US Latina Calcio · US Pianese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
US Latina Calcio1.3
US Pianese0.63
1X2
53% 29% 18%
US Latina Calcio Draw US Pianese
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
US Latina Calcio 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDLDDWWD
US Pianese 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DLDLDLWDDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Latina Calcio 1508 · US Pianese 1482
US Latina CalcioDrawUS Pianese
Our model52%31%17%
Market54%28%19%
Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Latina CalcioUS Pianese
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.10.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.81.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.63.7 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spezia 11920 19529
2 Ravenna 11722 20623
3 Grosseto 11641 231322
4 Pescara 11533 151318
5 Torres 11533 131218
6 AC Reggiana 11524 141117
7 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 11443 141216
8 Livorno 11443 161616
9 Perugia 11515 151716
10 Campobasso 11434 162015
11 FC Vado 11434 121115
12 US Latina Calcio 11353 111114
13 ASD Pineto Calcio 11353 91114
14 Forli 11263 161612
15 Atalanta U23 10406 111512
16 Sambenedettese 11245 161810
17 AS Ostia Mare 11236 10149
18 US Pianese 11164 6109
19 Gubbio 11218 10217
20 Vis Pesaro 10118 10244

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Latina CalcioUS Pianese
Sambenedettese 1-1 D 1-1 D
AS Ostia Mare 1-1 D 0-0 D
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-1 D 0-1 L
Forli 2-0 W 0-0 D
Ravenna 1-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Latina Calcio (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Latina Calcio

LWLDLDDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Spezia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 57 D
18/10 Vis Pesaro
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 95 W
14/10 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-0 67 W
11/10 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-1 41 D
04/10 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-1 64 D
20/09 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 31 L
16/09 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-1 86 D
12/09 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-3 35 L
05/09 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-0 86 W
29/08 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
1-2 1-3 61 L

US Pianese

DLDLDLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 74 D
17/10 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 44 D
10/10 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 42 D
04/10 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-1 43 W
26/09 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 2-3 64 L
21/09 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 86 D
16/09 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 65 L
12/09 Grosseto
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 83 D
05/09 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 23 L
28/08 FC Vado
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 85 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Latina Calcio vs US Pianese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Latina Calcio win (53%). Probabilities: US Latina Calcio 53%, draw 29%, US Pianese 18%.

How many goals are expected in US Latina Calcio vs US Pianese?

The model expects 1.93 goals (US Latina Calcio 1.3 · US Pianese 0.63), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in US Latina Calcio vs US Pianese?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.