Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 23/09, 22:00

Prediction: Salcedo FC vs Cibao FC

Team pages: Salcedo FC · Cibao FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Salcedo FC1.2

Cibao FC1.46

1X2

30% 29% 42%

Salcedo FC Draw Cibao FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Salcedo FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDWWW

Cibao FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWWLD

Head-to-head

Salcedo FC 1–3–2 Cibao FC (6 last)

Salcedo FC1-1Cibao FC
Cibao FC2-1Salcedo FC
Salcedo FC2-0Cibao FC
Cibao FC1-1Salcedo FC
Cibao FC2-2Salcedo FC
Salcedo FC0-1Cibao FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salcedo FC 1562 · Cibao FC 1550

	Salcedo FC	Draw	Cibao FC
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	30%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cibao FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Salcedo FC	Cibao FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.7	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	7.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.10

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.35 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +3’	2.70	3.10	2.35
09:52 +12’	3.00▲	3.10	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Salcedo FC 1–3–2 Cibao FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/09/26 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup	Salcedo FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Cibao FC
25/05/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Salcedo FC
17/05/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Salcedo FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Cibao FC
13/04/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Salcedo FC
24/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Salcedo FC
14/12/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Salcedo FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Cibao FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salcedo FC	Cibao FC
Jarabacoa FC	2-0 W	2-0 W
Atlantico FC	6-1 W	4-1 W
Atletico Vega Real	3-1 W	2-1 W
Moca FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Universidad O&M	3-1 W	1-1 D
Delfines Del Este	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Salcedo FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salcedo FC

LWLWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
06/09	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-0	6-1	4	4	W
30/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	3-1	6	3	W
27/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
23/08	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
25/05	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-2	2	8	L
17/05	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
09/05	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
03/05	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	1	9	W
25/04	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-2	3	7	L

Cibao FC

WDLWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
14/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
06/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-1	9	10	W
29/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-1	4-1	4	6	W
26/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
23/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
17/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	0	6	L
11/05	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
02/05	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	2	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salcedo FC vs Cibao FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cibao FC win (42%). Probabilities: Salcedo FC 30%, draw 29%, Cibao FC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Salcedo FC vs Cibao FC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Salcedo FC 1.2 · Cibao FC 1.46), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Salcedo FC vs Cibao FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.