Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 29/09, 00:00

Prediction: Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora

Team pages: Guairena FC · Fernando de la Mora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Guairena FC1.03

Fernando de la Mora1.34

1X2

28% 28% 43%

Guairena FC Draw Fernando de la Mora

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Guairena FC 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

DDLLDLLLLD

Fernando de la Mora 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWLDDWLW

Head-to-head

Guairena FC 5–1 Fernando de la Mora (6 last)

Fernando de la Mora1-3Guairena FC
Guairena FC5-2Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-1Guairena FC
Guairena FC0-1Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora1-2Guairena FC
Guairena FC2-1Fernando de la Mora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guairena FC 1437 · Fernando de la Mora 1505

	Guairena FC	Draw	Fernando de la Mora
Our model	28%	30%	42%
Market	29%	27%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fernando de la Mora (rating 1437 vs 1505).
H2H favours Guairena FC: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guairena FC	Fernando de la Mora
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.4	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.30

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:38 +2’	3.10	3.30	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guairena FC 5–0–1 Fernando de la Mora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	1-3 HT 1-0	Guairena FC
25/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	5-2 HT 2-0	Fernando de la Mora
20/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-1 HT 0-1	Guairena FC
22/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Fernando de la Mora
18/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	1-2 HT 1-0	Guairena FC
10/11/19 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	2-1	Fernando de la Mora

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	26	15	5	6	52	33	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	25	14	6	5	35	26	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	26	9	13	4	32	24	40
6	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
7	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
8	Paraguari AC	25	10	5	10	34	33	35
9	Resistencia FC	25	8	8	9	27	30	32
10	Fernando de la Mora	25	8	7	10	28	35	31
11	Club Atlético Tembetary	25	8	6	11	34	39	30
12	Deportivo Capiata	25	6	9	10	30	36	27
13	3 de Noviembre	26	6	8	12	33	39	26
14	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
15	Tacuary	26	4	12	10	28	40	24
16	Encarnacion FC	26	6	4	16	25	36	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guairena FC	Fernando de la Mora
Resistencia FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Sol de America	0-1 L	2-3 L
Deportivo Capiata	0-0 D	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Tacuary	0-1 L	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	0-0 D	1-2 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fernando de la Mora (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guairena FC

DDLLDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
08/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
05/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	10	L
30/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
21/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
15/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
10/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
01/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	0	4	D

Fernando de la Mora

DDLWLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
29/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
15/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
01/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
26/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fernando de la Mora win (43%). Probabilities: Guairena FC 28%, draw 28%, Fernando de la Mora 43%.

How many goals are expected in Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Guairena FC 1.03 · Fernando de la Mora 1.34), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.