Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 29/09, 20:45

Prediction: Dartford vs Whitehawk

Team pages: Dartford · Whitehawk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Dartford2.25

Whitehawk1.12

1X2

62% 20% 17%

Dartford Draw Whitehawk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Dartford 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLLWWW

Whitehawk 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLLDLW

Head-to-head

Dartford 6–0 Whitehawk (6 last)

Whitehawk1-2Dartford
Dartford3-0Whitehawk
Whitehawk0-1Dartford
Dartford4-1Whitehawk
Dartford3-1Whitehawk
Whitehawk0-4Dartford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dartford 1605 · Whitehawk 1432

	Dartford	Draw	Whitehawk
Our model	62%	21%	17%
Market	63%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dartford (rating 1605 vs 1432).
H2H favours Dartford: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dartford	Whitehawk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.5 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	0.5 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.42▲	Bet365 1.42
X	5.00 → 4.50▼	Pinn 5.41
2	6.25 → 5.00▼	Pinn 6.10 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +5’	1.30	5.00	6.25
10:01 +4’	1.42▲	4.50▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:11 +54’	1.30	5.47	6.50
09:02 +2’	1.39▲	4.97▼	5.45▼
11:18 +51’	1.38▼	5.03▲	5.47▲
18:07	1.34▼	5.27▲	5.93▲
18:48 +20’	1.35▲	5.41▲	6.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dartford 6–0–0 Whitehawk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	1-2	Dartford
14/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	3-0 HT 1-0	Whitehawk
12/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Whitehawk	0-1	Dartford
04/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	4-1 HT 1-0	Whitehawk
27/01/18 England National League South	Dartford	3-1 HT 1-0	Whitehawk
05/09/17 England National League South	Whitehawk	0-4 HT 0-3	Dartford

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
2	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
3	Welling	8	6	0	2	18	9	18
4	Carshalton Ath	9	6	0	3	15	13	18
5	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
6	Lewes	9	5	1	3	14	11	16
7	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
8	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
9	Ramsgate	8	4	1	3	19	10	13
10	Eastbourne Borough	8	4	1	3	14	11	13
11	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
12	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
13	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
14	Burgess Hill Town	7	2	4	1	11	9	10
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	9	3	0	6	13	26	9
17	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
18	Brentwood Town	8	2	0	6	13	15	6
19	AFC Whyteleafe	8	1	3	4	10	17	6
20	Whitehawk	9	1	2	6	10	21	5
21	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dartford	Whitehawk
Enfield Town	2-0 W	1-5 L
Chatham Town	1-0 W	0-3 L
Burgess Hill Town	1-2 L	1-1 D
Welling	0-3 L	0-2 L
Maldon Tiptree FC	2-1 W	2-3 L
Three Bridges	3-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dartford (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dartford

DLWWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
12/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
28/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
22/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
18/04	Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	6	2	D

Whitehawk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	1-5	1	3	L
22/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dartford vs Whitehawk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dartford win (62%). Probabilities: Dartford 62%, draw 20%, Whitehawk 17%.

How many goals are expected in Dartford vs Whitehawk?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Dartford 2.25 · Whitehawk 1.12), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dartford vs Whitehawk?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.