Prediction: Chatham Town vs Leatherhead

Team pages: Chatham Town · Leatherhead

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Chatham Town1.73
Leatherhead1.36
1X2
46% 25% 30%
Chatham Town Draw Leatherhead
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chatham Town 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWWWLLWLL
Leatherhead 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLWLWDDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chatham Town 1504 · Leatherhead 1553
Chatham TownDrawLeatherhead
Our model45%26%29%
Market46%24%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leatherhead (rating 1504 vs 1553).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chatham TownLeatherhead
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.91.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.50 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 42 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 02 / 1

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Welling 9702 19921
2 Dartford 9702 15921
3 Carshalton Ath 10703 181521
4 Lewes 10613 151119
5 Enfield Town 8602 231118
6 Dulwich 8512 18916
7 Leatherhead 9432 171515
8 St Albans 8422 171314
9 Ramsgate 9414 211313
10 Burgess Hill Town 8341 151013
11 Eastbourne Borough 8413 141113
12 Cray Wanderers 8332 181212
13 Chatham Town 8404 161312
14 Wingate & Finchley 8323 131811
15 Aveley 9315 161610
16 Brentwood Town 9306 15169
17 Maldon Tiptree FC 10307 14309
18 Cheshunt 9153 7128
19 AFC Whyteleafe 10136 11206
20 Three Bridges 9126 16285
21 Whitehawk 10127 10225
22 Stanway Rovers 8116 6214

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChatham TownLeatherhead
Eastbourne Borough 1-2 L 1-0 W
Three Bridges 3-1 W 3-3 D
Dulwich 3-1 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chatham Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chatham Town

LLWWWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Berkhamsted
England FA Trophy
– 1-3 –– L
15/09 Eastbourne Borough
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 1-2 –– L
12/09 Lewes
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 3-2 –– W
31/08 Dartford
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-0 0-1 22 L
29/08 Wingate & Finchley
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 2-3 –– L
22/08 Whitehawk
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 3-0 –– W
15/08 Three Bridges
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 3-1 –– W
11/08 Dulwich
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 3-1 –– W
08/08 St Albans
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 1-3 –– L
29/04 Billericay Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-3 2-3 67 L

Leatherhead

WWDLWLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Ramsgate
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 2-2 –– D
22/09 Three Bridges
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 3-3 –– D
15/09 AFC Whyteleafe
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-0 0-0 63 D
12/09 Aveley
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 2-1 –– W
31/08 Dulwich
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 2-3 –– L
29/08 Eastbourne Borough
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 1-0 –– W
22/08 Maldon Tiptree FC
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 1-4 –– L
15/08 Burgess Hill Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 2-2 –– D
11/08 Welling
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 4-1 –– W
08/08 Ramsgate
England Isthmian Premier Division
– 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chatham Town vs Leatherhead?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chatham Town win (46%). Probabilities: Chatham Town 46%, draw 25%, Leatherhead 30%.

How many goals are expected in Chatham Town vs Leatherhead?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Chatham Town 1.73 · Leatherhead 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chatham Town vs Leatherhead?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.