Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 06/10, 20:45

Prediction: Dartford vs Ramsgate

Team pages: Dartford · Ramsgate

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Dartford1.78

Ramsgate1.13

1X2

52% 24% 23%

Dartford Draw Ramsgate

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dartford 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWWWW

Ramsgate 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDWDL

Head-to-head

Dartford 1–1–0 Ramsgate (2 last)

Dartford1-0Ramsgate
Ramsgate4-4Dartford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dartford 1582 · Ramsgate 1502

	Dartford	Draw	Ramsgate
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	53%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dartford (rating 1582 vs 1502).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dartford	Ramsgate
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	0 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.80

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:33 +20’	1.70	3.80	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dartford 1–1–0 Ramsgate

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	1-0 HT 1-0	Ramsgate
25/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Ramsgate	4-4	Dartford

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
3	Carshalton Ath	10	7	0	3	18	15	21
4	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
5	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
6	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
7	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
8	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
9	Ramsgate	9	4	1	4	21	13	13
10	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
11	Eastbourne Borough	8	4	1	3	14	11	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	10	3	0	7	14	30	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dartford	Ramsgate
Enfield Town	2-0 W	2-3 L
Carshalton Ath	3-0 W	2-3 L
Burgess Hill Town	1-2 L	2-2 D
Welling	0-3 L	0-1 L
Maldon Tiptree FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ramsgate (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dartford

LWWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
12/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
28/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
22/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Ramsgate

LWLWLWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	5-1	–	–	W
29/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
22/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
08/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dartford vs Ramsgate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dartford win (52%). Probabilities: Dartford 52%, draw 24%, Ramsgate 23%.

How many goals are expected in Dartford vs Ramsgate?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Dartford 1.78 · Ramsgate 1.13), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dartford vs Ramsgate?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.