Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 06/10, 20:45

Prediction: Cheshunt vs Aveley

Team pages: Cheshunt · Aveley

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Cheshunt1.29

Aveley1.63

1X2

30% 26% 45%

Cheshunt Draw Aveley

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cheshunt 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDDDLLWD

Aveley 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Cheshunt 2–1–2 Aveley (5 last)

Aveley4-2Cheshunt
Aveley3-0Cheshunt
Cheshunt2-0Aveley
Cheshunt1-1Aveley
Aveley0-4Cheshunt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cheshunt 1467 · Aveley 1468

	Cheshunt	Draw	Aveley
Our model	29%	27%	44%
Market	30%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cheshunt	Aveley
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	3.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:29 +25’	3.00	3.60	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheshunt 2–1–2 Aveley

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 England FA Cup Qualification	Aveley	4-2 HT 2-2	Cheshunt
21/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Aveley	3-0	Cheshunt
24/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	2-0 HT 0-0	Aveley
03/08/24 Club Friendly List	Cheshunt	1-1 HT 1-1	Aveley
08/10/18 England Isthmian Cup	Aveley	0-4 HT 0-3	Cheshunt

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
3	Carshalton Ath	10	7	0	3	18	15	21
4	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
5	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
6	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
7	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
8	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
9	Ramsgate	9	4	1	4	21	13	13
10	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
11	Eastbourne Borough	8	4	1	3	14	11	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	10	3	0	7	14	30	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cheshunt	Aveley
Lewes	3-1 W	0-2 L
Eastbourne Borough	0-3 L	2-2 D
Dulwich	0-2 L	0-2 L
Stanway Rovers	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aveley (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cheshunt

DDLDDDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Cray Wanderers England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
29/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D

Aveley

LDLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
14/09	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	3-4	11	6	L
12/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
31/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	5-1	–	–	W
15/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
11/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/04	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-4	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheshunt vs Aveley?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aveley win (45%). Probabilities: Cheshunt 30%, draw 26%, Aveley 45%.

How many goals are expected in Cheshunt vs Aveley?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Cheshunt 1.29 · Aveley 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Aveley?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.