Prediction: Barau FC vs Kwara United
Team pages: Barau FC · Kwara United
- Kwara United2-1Barau FC
- Barau FC3-2Kwara United
| Barau FC | Draw | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 63% | 26% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barau FC (rating 1532 vs 1468).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barau FC | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barau FC 1–0–1 Kwara United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Nigeria Premier League | Kwara United | 2-1 | Barau FC |
| 30/11/25 Nigeria Premier League | Barau FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Kwara United |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Plateau United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Katsina Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 9 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barau FC | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Abia Warriors | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ikorodu City FC | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Ranchers Bees | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Kun Khalifat FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Nasarawa United | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Barau FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barau FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 23/09 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Kwara United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/09 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Bayelsa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barau FC vs Kwara United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barau FC win (64%). Probabilities: Barau FC 64%, draw 25%, Kwara United 12%.
How many goals are expected in Barau FC vs Kwara United?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Barau FC 1.89 · Kwara United 0.71), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Barau FC vs Kwara United?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.