Football · Nigeria Premier League · 01/11, 16:00
Prediction: Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors
Team pages: Shooting Stars · Abia Warriors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Shooting Stars1.65
Abia Warriors0.61
1X2
Shooting Stars
Draw
Abia Warriors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Shooting Stars
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Abia Warriors
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shooting Stars
3–3
Abia Warriors
(6 last)
- Abia Warriors2-0Shooting Stars
- Shooting Stars2-0Abia Warriors
- Abia Warriors3-1Shooting Stars
- Shooting Stars2-0Abia Warriors
- Shooting Stars4-0Abia Warriors
- Abia Warriors3-2Shooting Stars
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shooting Stars 1469 · Abia Warriors 1487
| Shooting Stars | Draw | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 26% | 12% |
| Market | 62% | 25% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shooting Stars | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shooting Stars 3–0–3 Abia Warriors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Nigeria Premier League | Abia Warriors | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Shooting Stars |
| 19/10/25 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Abia Warriors |
| 27/04/25 Nigeria Premier League | Abia Warriors | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Shooting Stars |
| 01/12/24 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Abia Warriors |
| 02/06/24 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Abia Warriors |
| 17/12/23 Nigeria Premier League | Abia Warriors | 3-2 | Shooting Stars |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Nasarawa United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 9 | Bendel Insurance | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 10 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Ikorodu City FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 12 | Katsina Utd | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| 17 | Abia Warriors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 18 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shooting Stars | Abia Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Ikorodu City FC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Ranchers Bees | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Kun Khalifat FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shooting Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 16/10 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/10 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/09 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/09 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Abia Warriors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/09 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shooting Stars win (62%). Probabilities: Shooting Stars 62%, draw 25%, Abia Warriors 13%.
How many goals are expected in Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Shooting Stars 1.65 · Abia Warriors 0.61), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.