Football · Nigeria Premier League · 04/11, 16:00
Prediction: Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
Team pages: Enugu Rangers · Bendel Insurance
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Enugu Rangers1.91
Bendel Insurance0.86
1X2
Enugu Rangers
Draw
Bendel Insurance
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Enugu Rangers
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Bendel Insurance
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Enugu Rangers
4–2–0
Bendel Insurance
(6 last)
- Enugu Rangers2-1Bendel Insurance
- Bendel Insurance1-1Enugu Rangers
- Bendel Insurance0-1Enugu Rangers
- Bendel Insurance0-0Enugu Rangers
- Enugu Rangers3-2Bendel Insurance
- Enugu Rangers2-0Bendel Insurance
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enugu Rangers 1562 · Bendel Insurance 1518
| Enugu Rangers | Draw | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enugu Rangers (rating 1562 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Enugu Rangers: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Enugu Rangers | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/29/29% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Enugu Rangers 4–2–0 Bendel Insurance
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bendel Insurance |
| 13/12/25 Nigeria Premier League | Bendel Insurance | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Enugu Rangers |
| 16/04/25 Nigeria Cup | Bendel Insurance | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Enugu Rangers |
| 05/04/25 Nigeria Premier League | Bendel Insurance | 0-0 | Enugu Rangers |
| 17/11/24 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Bendel Insurance |
| 16/06/24 Nigeria Premier League | Enugu Rangers | 2-0 | Bendel Insurance |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kano Pillars | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau FC | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Katsina Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Enugu Rangers | Bendel Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Rivers United | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Barau FC | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Abia Warriors | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Warri Wolves FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ikorodu City FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Ranchers Bees | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kun Khalifat FC | 4-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Nasarawa United | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enugu Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/09 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Bendel Insurance
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/09 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Enugu Rangers win (61%). Probabilities: Enugu Rangers 61%, draw 25%, Bendel Insurance 15%.
How many goals are expected in Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Enugu Rangers 1.91 · Bendel Insurance 0.86), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.