Football · Nigeria Premier League · 01/11, 16:00

Prediction: Plateau United vs Warri Wolves FC

Team pages: Plateau United · Warri Wolves FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

Plateau United1.49

Warri Wolves FC0.52

1X2

61% 26% 13%

Plateau United Draw Warri Wolves FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Plateau United 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWLWLD

Warri Wolves FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLWDD

Head-to-head

Plateau United 3–3 Warri Wolves FC (6 last)

Warri Wolves FC1-0Plateau United
Plateau United1-0Warri Wolves FC
Plateau United2-0Warri Wolves FC
Warri Wolves FC1-0Plateau United
Plateau United1-0Warri Wolves FC
Warri Wolves FC2-1Plateau United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plateau United 1507 · Warri Wolves FC 1490

	Plateau United	Draw	Warri Wolves FC
Our model	60%	28%	12%
Market	62%	24%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plateau United	Warri Wolves FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/14/43%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.4	0.5 / 1.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.70

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.44▲	Bet365 1.44
X	3.90 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	8.00 → 6.50▼	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +29’	1.36	3.90	8.00
19:10 +5’	1.44▲	3.70▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plateau United 3–0–3 Warri Wolves FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Nigeria Premier League	Warri Wolves FC	1-0	Plateau United
07/12/25 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	1-0 HT 1-0	Warri Wolves FC
20/06/21 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	2-0 HT 0-0	Warri Wolves FC
03/02/21 Nigeria Premier League	Warri Wolves FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Plateau United
22/12/19 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	1-0	Warri Wolves FC
20/06/16 Nigeria Premier League	Warri Wolves FC	2-1	Plateau United

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rivers United	10	4	5	1	14	4	17
2	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14	9	17
3	Nasarawa United	10	5	2	3	11	8	17
4	Barau FC	11	3	7	1	13	10	16
5	Sporting Lagos	10	4	4	2	14	12	16
6	Kano Pillars	11	3	7	1	13	12	16
7	Niger Tornadoes	11	4	4	3	9	8	16
8	Plateau United	10	4	3	3	17	13	15
9	Bendel Insurance	9	5	0	4	16	14	15
10	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11	11	14
11	Ikorodu City FC	10	3	4	3	13	11	13
12	Katsina Utd	10	3	4	3	12	14	13
13	Kwara United	10	3	3	4	11	11	12
14	Warri Wolves FC	10	3	3	4	6	7	12
15	Shooting Stars	10	3	3	4	12	14	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	10	3	3	4	9	15	12
17	Abia Warriors	10	2	4	4	9	13	10
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10	13	8
19	Enyimba	10	2	2	6	11	15	8
20	Inter Lagos	10	1	2	7	5	16	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plateau United	Warri Wolves FC
Kano Pillars	4-0 W	0-0 D
Enyimba	0-2 L	0-0 D
Inter Lagos	2-0 W	3-1 W
Doma United	2-2 D	0-1 L
Shooting Stars	3-1 W	1-0 W
Kwara United	1-0 W	1-0 W
Rivers United	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Plateau United (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plateau United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/10	Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League	2-1	2-3	11	4	L
11/10	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	2-0	4-0	8	5	W
04/10	Enyimba Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/09	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	0-0	2-0	15	3	W
23/09	Doma United Nigeria Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
20/09	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
06/09	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	10	2	W
30/08	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
24/05	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W

Warri Wolves FC

LLWDWLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	Enyimba Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
11/10	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	–	3-1	–	–	W
04/10	Doma United Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
30/09	Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
23/09	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
20/09	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/09	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
30/08	Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plateau United vs Warri Wolves FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plateau United win (61%). Probabilities: Plateau United 61%, draw 26%, Warri Wolves FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Plateau United vs Warri Wolves FC?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Plateau United 1.49 · Warri Wolves FC 0.52), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Plateau United vs Warri Wolves FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.