Football · Nigeria Premier League · 30/10, 15:00

Prediction: Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC

Team pages: Niger Tornadoes · Barau FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Niger Tornadoes1.37
Barau FC0.64
1X2
54% 30% 16%
Niger Tornadoes Draw Barau FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Niger Tornadoes 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLDLWDWW
Barau FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWDWDLDD
Head-to-head
Niger Tornadoes 1–1 Barau FC (2 last)
  • Barau FC2-1Niger Tornadoes
  • Niger Tornadoes2-0Barau FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niger Tornadoes 1525 · Barau FC 1528
Niger TornadoesDrawBarau FC
Our model54%30%16%
Market54%30%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Niger TornadoesBarau FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.71.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.10.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/43/14%67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.73.2 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.32.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Niger Tornadoes 1–0–1 Barau FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/01/26
Nigeria Premier League
Barau FC2-1Niger Tornadoes
28/12/25
Nigeria Premier League
Niger Tornadoes2-0
HT 1-0
Barau FC

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Rivers United 10451 14417
2 Enugu Rangers 8521 14917
3 Nasarawa United 10523 11817
4 Barau FC 11371 131016
5 Sporting Lagos 10442 141216
6 Kano Pillars 11371 131216
7 Niger Tornadoes 11443 9816
8 Plateau United 10433 171315
9 Bendel Insurance 9504 161415
10 Doma United 9423 111114
11 Ikorodu City FC 10343 131113
12 Katsina Utd 10343 121413
13 Kwara United 10334 111112
14 Warri Wolves FC 10334 6712
15 Shooting Stars 10334 121412
16 Kun Khalifat FC 10334 91512
17 Abia Warriors 10244 91310
18 Ranchers Bees 9225 10138
19 Enyimba 10226 11158
20 Inter Lagos 10127 5162

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNiger TornadoesBarau FC
Abia Warriors 1-0 W 2-0 W
Ikorodu City FC 2-1 W 0-0 D
Ranchers Bees 0-0 D 3-1 W
Kun Khalifat FC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Nasarawa United 0-1 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Barau FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niger Tornadoes

WWLLDLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Abia Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 1-0 56 W
18/10 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-1 43 W
10/10 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D
04/10 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-0 –– W
27/09 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-1 52 L
23/09 Warri Wolves FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 103 D
19/09 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Kano Pillars
Nigeria Premier League
– 2-3 –– L
30/08 Enyimba
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-1 54 W
24/05 Shooting Stars
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-0 72 W

Barau FC

WWDWDWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-1 152 D
11/10 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 2-2 54 D
04/10 Bendel Insurance
Nigeria Premier League
– 1-4 –– L
26/09 Sporting Lagos
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 1-1 21 D
23/09 Abia Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 2-0 74 W
19/09 Ikorodu City FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D
13/09 Ranchers Bees
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 3-1 101 W
06/09 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
30/08 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
– 3-1 –– W
24/05 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
– 3-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Niger Tornadoes win (54%). Probabilities: Niger Tornadoes 54%, draw 30%, Barau FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Niger Tornadoes 1.37 · Barau FC 0.64), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.