Football · Nigeria Premier League · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Ikorodu City FC vs Shooting Stars
Team pages: Ikorodu City FC · Shooting Stars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Ikorodu City FC1.6
Shooting Stars0.62
1X2
Ikorodu City FC
Draw
Shooting Stars
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Ikorodu City FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Shooting Stars
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ikorodu City FC
2–2–0
Shooting Stars
(4 last)
- Ikorodu City FC1-0Shooting Stars
- Shooting Stars1-1Ikorodu City FC
- Shooting Stars0-0Ikorodu City FC
- Ikorodu City FC2-1Shooting Stars
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ikorodu City FC 1490 · Shooting Stars 1467
| Ikorodu City FC | Draw | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Market | 61% | 26% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ikorodu City FC: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ikorodu City FC | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/25/38% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ikorodu City FC 2–2–0 Shooting Stars
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/26 Nigeria Premier League | Ikorodu City FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shooting Stars |
| 07/09/25 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 1-1 | Ikorodu City FC |
| 06/04/25 Nigeria Premier League | Shooting Stars | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ikorodu City FC |
| 17/11/24 Nigeria Premier League | Ikorodu City FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Shooting Stars |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Plateau United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Katsina Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 9 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ikorodu City FC | Shooting Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Niger Tornadoes | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ranchers Bees | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ikorodu City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/09 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/09 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Shooting Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/10 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/09 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/09 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ikorodu City FC vs Shooting Stars?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ikorodu City FC win (60%). Probabilities: Ikorodu City FC 60%, draw 26%, Shooting Stars 14%.
How many goals are expected in Ikorodu City FC vs Shooting Stars?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Ikorodu City FC 1.6 · Shooting Stars 0.62), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ikorodu City FC vs Shooting Stars?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.