Football · Nigeria Premier League · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Nasarawa United vs Enyimba
Team pages: Nasarawa United · Enyimba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Nasarawa United1.75
Enyimba0.7
1X2
Nasarawa United
Draw
Enyimba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Nasarawa United
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Enyimba
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nasarawa United
1–3–2
Enyimba
(6 last)
- Nasarawa United1-1Enyimba
- Enyimba0-0Nasarawa United
- Nasarawa United3-2Enyimba
- Enyimba2-1Nasarawa United
- Enyimba1-1Nasarawa United
- Nasarawa United1-2Enyimba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nasarawa United 1509 · Enyimba 1477
| Nasarawa United | Draw | Enyimba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Enyimba: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nasarawa United | Enyimba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 44/11/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.4 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nasarawa United 1–3–2 Enyimba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Nigeria Premier League | Nasarawa United | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Enyimba |
| 07/09/25 Nigeria Premier League | Enyimba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nasarawa United |
| 11/05/25 Nigeria Premier League | Nasarawa United | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Enyimba |
| 08/01/25 Nigeria Premier League | Enyimba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Nasarawa United |
| 29/03/23 Nigeria Premier League | Enyimba | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nasarawa United |
| 14/01/23 Nigeria Premier League | Nasarawa United | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Enyimba |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Plateau United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Katsina Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 9 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nasarawa United | Enyimba |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Lagos | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Doma United | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Shooting Stars | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Niger Tornadoes | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Nasarawa United (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nasarawa United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Doma United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 27/09 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/09 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/09 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Enyimba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/10 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/09 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/09 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Doma United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nasarawa United vs Enyimba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nasarawa United win (62%). Probabilities: Nasarawa United 62%, draw 25%, Enyimba 14%.
How many goals are expected in Nasarawa United vs Enyimba?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Nasarawa United 1.75 · Enyimba 0.7), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nasarawa United vs Enyimba?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.