Football · Thailand Division 3 · 20/09, 13:00

Prediction: Khonkaen vs Udon United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Khonkaen1.17
Udon United1.03
1X2
39% 29% 32%
Khonkaen Draw Udon United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Khonkaen 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
DWWDWDWWWW
Udon United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
DWWLLLLWWL
Head-to-head
Khonkaen 1–3–2 Udon United (6 last)
  • Khonkaen2-1Udon United
  • Khonkaen1-3Udon United
  • Udon United0-0Khonkaen
  • Udon United3-2Khonkaen
  • Khonkaen1-1Udon United
  • Khonkaen1-1Udon United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khonkaen 1611 · Udon United 1508
KhonkaenDrawUdon United
Our model38%32%31%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khonkaen (rating 1611 vs 1508).
  • H2H favours Udon United: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KhonkaenUdon United
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.21.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 00.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.22.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.13.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Khonkaen 132 Udon United

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/09/26
Thailand League Cup
Khonkaen2-1
HT 0-1
Udon United
29/11/25
Thailand Division 3 Cup
Khonkaen1-3
HT 0-0
Udon United
21/10/25
Thailand Division 3 Cup
Udon United0-0
HT 0-0
Khonkaen
14/09/25
Thailand Division 3
Udon United3-2
HT 1-0
Khonkaen
19/01/25
Thailand Division 3
Khonkaen1-1
HT 1-1
Udon United
21/10/23
Thailand Division 3
Khonkaen1-1
HT 0-0
Udon United

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKhonkaenUdon United
Udon Banjan United 1-0 W 7-0 W
Korat City FC 1-0 W 0-1 L
Muang Loei United 2-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Khonkaen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khonkaen

DWWDWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/03 Yasothon FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 61 W
22/02 Udon Banjan United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 52 W
15/02 Ubon Krua Napat FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 25 W
10/02 Surin Khongcheemoon FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 6-0 33 W
01/02 Surin City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 74 D
26/01 Korat City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 63 W
22/11 Roi-Et PB United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 03 D
09/11 Muang Loei United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 37 W
25/10 Ubon Krua Napat FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 3-0 55 W
11/10 Surin City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 57 D

Udon United

DWWLLLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 75 L
09/05 Muang Loei United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 56 W
02/05 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 4-0 57 W
28/04 Muang Loei United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-2 53 L
25/04 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 L
19/04 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 24 L
15/03 Korat City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 94 L
28/02 Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 92 W
10/02 Udon Banjan United
Thailand Division 3
2-0 7-0 21 W
18/01 EUMT FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 12 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khonkaen vs Udon United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Khonkaen win (39%). Probabilities: Khonkaen 39%, draw 29%, Udon United 32%.

How many goals are expected in Khonkaen vs Udon United?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Khonkaen 1.17 · Udon United 1.03), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Khonkaen vs Udon United?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.