Football · Thailand Division 3 · 27/09, 12:00

Prediction: Surat Thani City FC vs Nara United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Surat Thani City FC1.15
Nara United1.4
1X2
30% 28% 42%
Surat Thani City FC Draw Nara United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Surat Thani City FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWLLWDDDWD
Nara United 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWWLWDDWWD
Head-to-head
Surat Thani City FC 0–1 Nara United (1 last)
  • Surat Thani City FC0-2Nara United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Surat Thani City FC 1482 · Nara United 1572
Surat Thani City FCDrawNara United
Our model30%29%41%
Market31%26%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nara United (rating 1482 vs 1572).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Surat Thani City FCNara United
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.31.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.21.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.23.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Surat Thani City FC 0–0–1 Nara United

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Surat Thani City FC0-2
HT 0-2
Nara United

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSurat Thani City FCNara United
Phuket Andaman FC 0-0 D 0-0 D
PT Satun 3-2 W 5-1 W
Chumphon United 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Surat Thani City FC

DWLLWDDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Phuket Andaman FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 44 D
21/02 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
1-1 3-2 15 W
14/02 Ranong United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 93 D
01/02 Muang Trang United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 2-2 87 D
17/01 Yala FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
11/01 Chumphon United
Thailand Division 3
2-0 3-0 13 W
23/11 Phuket Andaman FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-3 34 L
15/11 Nara United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-2 87 L
18/10 Ranong United
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-1 127 W
12/10 Muang Trang United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 15 D

Nara United

DWWLWDDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/06 Uttaradit FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 49 D
07/06 Uttaradit FC
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-2 02 W
30/05 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
3-0 5-1 34 W
23/05 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
16/05 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 41 D
09/05 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 59 W
29/04 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
– 0-1 00 L
26/04 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
2-1 3-2 81 W
22/02 Chumphon United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 66 W
24/01 Phuket Andaman FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 27 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Surat Thani City FC vs Nara United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nara United win (42%). Probabilities: Surat Thani City FC 30%, draw 28%, Nara United 42%.

How many goals are expected in Surat Thani City FC vs Nara United?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Surat Thani City FC 1.15 · Nara United 1.4), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Surat Thani City FC vs Nara United?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.