Prediction: Padriew City vs Burapha United
- Burapha United4-1Padriew City
| Padriew City | Draw | Burapha United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 26% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 23% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burapha United (rating 1452 vs 1620).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Padriew City | Burapha United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Padriew City 0–0–1 Burapha United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/25 Thailand Division 3 | Burapha United | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Padriew City |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Padriew City | Burapha United |
|---|---|---|
| Pluak Daeng United | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Marines FC Sattahip | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Chachoengsao FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Fleet FC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Bankhai United | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Burapha United (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Padriew City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/02 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/02 | ACDC FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/02 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/01 | Royal Navy Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/01 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/11 | Bankhai United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/11 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/11 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 26/10 | ACDC FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Burapha United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Udon United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Udon United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/02 | Bankhai United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 15/02 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 31/01 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Padriew City vs Burapha United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Burapha United win (62%). Probabilities: Padriew City 13%, draw 24%, Burapha United 62%.
How many goals are expected in Padriew City vs Burapha United?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Padriew City 0.59 · Burapha United 1.63), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Padriew City vs Burapha United?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.