Football · Thailand Division 3 · 26/09, 10:30

Prediction: Surin City FC vs Korat City FC

Team pages: Korat City FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Surin City FC1.79
Korat City FC0.89
1X2
58% 25% 18%
Surin City FC Draw Korat City FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Surin City FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWWWLDDW
Korat City FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLWD
Head-to-head
Surin City FC 3–1–0 Korat City FC (4 last)
  • Korat City FC0-3Surin City FC
  • Korat City FC2-2Surin City FC
  • Surin City FC1-0Korat City FC
  • Korat City FC1-2Surin City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Surin City FC 1516 · Korat City FC 1458
Surin City FCDrawKorat City FC
Our model57%25%17%
Market58%24%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Surin City FC (rating 1516 vs 1458).
  • H2H favours Surin City FC: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Surin City FCKorat City FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.90.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.11.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.33.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Surin City FC 3–1–0 Korat City FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Thailand Division 3
Korat City FC0-3
HT 0-2
Surin City FC
14/09/24
Thailand Division 3
Korat City FC2-2
HT 1-0
Surin City FC
27/01/24
Thailand Division 3
Surin City FC1-0
HT 0-0
Korat City FC
04/11/23
Thailand Division 3
Korat City FC1-2
HT 0-2
Surin City FC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSurin City FCKorat City FC
Khonkaen 0-0 D 0-1 L
Yasothon FC 2-0 W 0-2 L
Udon Banjan United 4-1 W 0-1 L
Udon United 1-5 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Surin City FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Surin City FC

LDLWWWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/03 Korat City FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 3-0 44 W
11/02 EUMT FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 25 D
01/02 Khonkaen
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 74 D
17/01 Muang Loei United
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-2 64 L
10/01 Yasothon FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 28 W
23/11 Udon Banjan United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 4-1 23 W
09/11 Surin Khongcheemoon FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 27 W
19/10 EUMT FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 26 L
11/10 Khonkaen
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 27 D
04/10 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
0-3 1-5 24 L

Korat City FC

LLLWLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Ubon Krua Napat FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 24 D
15/03 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 34 W
08/03 Surin City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-3 64 L
10/02 Ubon Krua Napat FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-3 34 L
31/01 Yasothon FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 12 L
26/01 Khonkaen
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 43 L
10/01 Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 35 W
08/11 Roi-Et PB United
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-6 13 L
26/10 Udon Banjan United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 84 L
18/10 Ubon Eastern
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-3 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Surin City FC vs Korat City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Surin City FC win (58%). Probabilities: Surin City FC 58%, draw 25%, Korat City FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Surin City FC vs Korat City FC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Surin City FC 1.79 · Korat City FC 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Surin City FC vs Korat City FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.