Football · Thailand Division 3 · 20/09, 13:00
Prediction: Maejo United vs Khelang United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Maejo United1.28
Khelang United1
1X2
Maejo United
Draw
Khelang United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Maejo United
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Khelang United
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maejo United
2–1–0
Khelang United
(3 last)
- Khelang United1-2Maejo United
- Maejo United2-2Khelang United
- Khelang United0-3Maejo United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maejo United 1540 · Khelang United 1498
| Maejo United | Draw | Khelang United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maejo United (rating 1540 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Maejo United: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maejo United | Khelang United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 2.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maejo United 2–1–0 Khelang United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/25 Thailand Division 3 | Khelang United | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Maejo United |
| 09/02/25 Thailand Division 3 | Maejo United | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Khelang United |
| 12/10/24 Thailand Division 3 | Khelang United | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Maejo United |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maejo United | Khelang United |
|---|---|---|
| Kamphaeng Phet | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Chiangmai FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Uttaradit FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Chattrakan City FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maejo United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03 | Kamphaeng Phet Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/02 | Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/02 | Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 24/01 | Chiangrai TSC FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/01 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/01 | Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/11 | Chattrakan City FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Chiangrai City FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 19/10 | Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
Khelang United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03 | Chattrakan City FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/02 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 31/01 | Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/11 | Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 18/10 | Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 05/10 | Kamphaeng Phet Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Phitsanulok FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maejo United vs Khelang United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maejo United win (42%). Probabilities: Maejo United 42%, draw 29%, Khelang United 28%.
How many goals are expected in Maejo United vs Khelang United?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Maejo United 1.28 · Khelang United 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Maejo United vs Khelang United?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.