Football · Thailand Division 3 · 26/09, 12:00

Prediction: Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Yasothon FC

Team pages: Yasothon FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Khonkaen Mordindang FC1.29

Yasothon FC1.42

1X2

33% 28% 39%

Khonkaen Mordindang FC Draw Yasothon FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLDLL

Yasothon FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWDLL

Head-to-head

Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1–2–3 Yasothon FC (6 last)

Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-1Yasothon FC
Yasothon FC3-1Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-1Yasothon FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-0Yasothon FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-2Yasothon FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC1-3Yasothon FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1407 · Yasothon FC 1511

	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Draw	Yasothon FC
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yasothon FC (rating 1407 vs 1511).
H2H favours Yasothon FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Yasothon FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.5	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.25

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +7’	2.70	3.25	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1–2–3 Yasothon FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Yasothon FC
19/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Yasothon FC	3-1 HT 2-0	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
31/01/24 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Yasothon FC
05/03/23 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Yasothon FC
13/02/22 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Yasothon FC
29/11/20 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Yasothon FC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Yasothon FC
Roi-Et PB United	0-1 L	1-2 L
Udon United	0-2 L	4-2 W
Surin Khongcheemoon FC	1-0 W	4-2 W
Korat City FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Yasothon FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khonkaen Mordindang FC

LLLLLWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/03	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/02	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
11/02	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/01	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-3	0	2	L
24/01	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
10/01	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
23/11	Ubon Krua Napat FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
16/11	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
08/11	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
25/10	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	4	7	L

Yasothon FC

DWWWLDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
08/03	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
11/02	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
31/01	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
25/01	Udon Banjan United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
10/01	Surin City FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
01/11	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-2	4-2	5	5	W
26/10	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	3-2	4-2	1	5	W
19/10	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
11/10	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	1-2	2-2	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Yasothon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Yasothon FC win (39%). Probabilities: Khonkaen Mordindang FC 33%, draw 28%, Yasothon FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Yasothon FC?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1.29 · Yasothon FC 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Yasothon FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.