Football · Thailand Division 3 · 20/09, 10:30

Prediction: Thonburi United FC vs Assumption United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Thonburi United FC1.9
Assumption United1.01
1X2
57% 24% 19%
Thonburi United FC Draw Assumption United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Thonburi United FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWLWWLDD
Assumption United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWWDLDLWLL
Head-to-head
Thonburi United FC 3–1 Assumption United (4 last)
  • Assumption United1-2Thonburi United FC
  • Thonburi United FC2-3Assumption United
  • Thonburi United FC6-0Assumption United
  • Assumption United1-4Thonburi United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thonburi United FC 1513 · Assumption United 1488
Thonburi United FCDrawAssumption United
Our model57%24%19%
Market57%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Thonburi United FC: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Thonburi United FCAssumption United
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.51.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.61 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 2.91.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.14.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thonburi United FC 301 Assumption United

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United1-2
HT 0-1
Thonburi United FC
23/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Thonburi United FC2-3
HT 2-2
Assumption United
29/03/25
Thailand Division 3
Thonburi United FC6-0
HT 2-0
Assumption United
15/09/24
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United1-4
HT 0-2
Thonburi United FC

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThonburi United FCAssumption United
Samut Sakhon 3-3 D 0-3 L
Raj Pracha 2-1 W 2-0 W
Royal Thai Army 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Thonburi United FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thonburi United FC

WLWWLWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 Nara United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 31 D
10/05 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-3 11 D
03/05 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-2 30 L
29/04 Samutsakhon City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 32 W
29/04 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 32 W
26/04 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 72 L
22/03 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-1 35 W
14/03 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 W
07/03 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 33 L
28/02 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-1 06 W

Assumption United

WWWDLDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 L
08/03 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 27 L
22/02 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
14/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 53 L
11/02 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 43 D
01/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-3 27 L
25/01 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
10/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
4-0 4-2 25 W
23/11 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-2 75 W
16/11 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
3-0 3-2 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thonburi United FC vs Assumption United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Thonburi United FC win (57%). Probabilities: Thonburi United FC 57%, draw 24%, Assumption United 19%.

How many goals are expected in Thonburi United FC vs Assumption United?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Thonburi United FC 1.9 · Assumption United 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Thonburi United FC vs Assumption United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.