Football · Thailand Division 3 · 20/09, 10:30

Prediction: VRN Muangnont FC vs Thap Luang United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
VRN Muangnont FC1.02
Thap Luang United1.02
1X2
35% 30% 35%
VRN Muangnont FC Draw Thap Luang United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
VRN Muangnont FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDDLLDWD
Thap Luang United 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WDDWDDWWWW
Head-to-head
VRN Muangnont FC 0–3–1 Thap Luang United (4 last)
  • VRN Muangnont FC0-2Thap Luang United
  • Thap Luang United1-1VRN Muangnont FC
  • Thap Luang United1-1VRN Muangnont FC
  • VRN Muangnont FC0-0Thap Luang United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VRN Muangnont FC 1477 · Thap Luang United 1588
VRN Muangnont FCDrawThap Luang United
Our model33%33%33%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thap Luang United (rating 1477 vs 1588).
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VRN Muangnont FCThap Luang United
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.21.4 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.61.1 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.12.7 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · VRN Muangnont FC 031 Thap Luang United

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Thailand Division 3
VRN Muangnont FC0-2
HT 0-2
Thap Luang United
20/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Thap Luang United1-1
HT 1-0
VRN Muangnont FC
08/02/25
Thailand Division 3
Thap Luang United1-1
HT 1-0
VRN Muangnont FC
13/10/24
Thailand Division 3
VRN Muangnont FC0-0
HT 0-0
Thap Luang United

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVRN Muangnont FCThap Luang United
Royal Thai Army 1-1 D 0-0 D
Thonburi United FC 0-2 L 1-0 W
Samut Songkhram City 0-0 D 2-0 W
Nonthaburi United 1-1 D 1-0 W
Samut Sakhon 0-2 L 3-1 W
Raj Pracha 3-2 W 2-1 W
Hua Hin City 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 2 L 5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Thap Luang United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VRN Muangnont FC

DWLDDLLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/03 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 D
08/03 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 27 W
28/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 52 D
21/02 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-2 40 L
14/02 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 53 L
10/02 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 45 D
31/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 34 D
25/01 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 33 L
11/01 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-0 3-2 34 W
23/11 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 33 D

Thap Luang United

WDDWDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/03 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 32 W
07/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 43 W
28/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-1 23 W
21/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-0 00 W
15/02 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 35 D
24/01 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 13 D
11/01 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 04 W
20/11 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 51 D
16/11 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 38 D
12/11 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VRN Muangnont FC vs Thap Luang United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VRN Muangnont FC win (35%). Probabilities: VRN Muangnont FC 35%, draw 30%, Thap Luang United 35%.

How many goals are expected in VRN Muangnont FC vs Thap Luang United?

The model expects 2.04 goals (VRN Muangnont FC 1.02 · Thap Luang United 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VRN Muangnont FC vs Thap Luang United?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.