Football · Georgia First League · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Gori vs Kolkheti Poti

Team pages: FC Gori · Kolkheti Poti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FC Gori1.29

Kolkheti Poti1.25

1X2

37% 28% 35%

FC Gori Draw Kolkheti Poti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gori 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLWWDL

Kolkheti Poti 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLDLDWDW

Head-to-head

FC Gori 2–2–2 Kolkheti Poti (6 last)

Kolkheti Poti1-1FC Gori
FC Gori2-1Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti2-0FC Gori
FC Gori1-1Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti3-1FC Gori
Kolkheti Poti2-4FC Gori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gori 1522 · Kolkheti Poti 1496

	FC Gori	Draw	Kolkheti Poti
Our model	36%	29%	35%
Market	37%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gori	Kolkheti Poti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.9	1.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.30

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
06:51 +58’	2.40	3.30	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gori 2–2–2 Kolkheti Poti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Gori
26/04/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	2-1 HT 1-1	Kolkheti Poti
12/05/22 Georgia Liga 3	Kolkheti Poti	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Gori
21/09/21 Georgia Liga 3	FC Gori	1-1 HT 0-0	Kolkheti Poti
06/04/21 Georgia Liga 3	Kolkheti Poti	3-1 HT 3-1	FC Gori
12/12/20 Georgia Liga 3	Kolkheti Poti	2-4 HT 1-1	FC Gori

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	26	14	8	4	35	27	50
2	FC Telavi	26	11	9	6	28	24	42
3	SFC Shturmi	26	10	10	6	28	23	40
4	Merani Martvili	26	10	7	9	30	29	37
5	FC Samtredia	26	10	4	12	43	40	34
6	FC Sioni Bolnisi	26	8	9	9	34	32	33
7	Aragvi Dusheti	26	9	5	12	28	36	32
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	26	8	7	11	28	36	31
9	Kolkheti Poti	26	6	9	11	33	32	27
10	FC Gori	26	6	8	12	26	34	26

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gori	Kolkheti Poti
FC Gareji	1-2 L	2-3 L
FC Telavi	2-2 D	1-1 D
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	3-2 W	1-2 L
SFC Shturmi	3-1 W	0-0 D
Aragvi Dusheti	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Samtredia	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Sioni Bolnisi	4-1 W	1-1 D
Merani Martvili	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gori (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gori

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-2	10	2	L
12/09	FC Telavi Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
06/09	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
29/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
08/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	4-1	5	2	W
22/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
13/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-2	1-3	4	5	L

Kolkheti Poti

DDDLDLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
12/09	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
06/09	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
30/08	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
22/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
15/08	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
08/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
22/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/06	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gori vs Kolkheti Poti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gori win (37%). Probabilities: FC Gori 37%, draw 28%, Kolkheti Poti 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gori vs Kolkheti Poti?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FC Gori 1.29 · Kolkheti Poti 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gori vs Kolkheti Poti?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.