Football · Georgia First League · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Team pages: Aragvi Dusheti · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Aragvi Dusheti1.6

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi1.19

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Aragvi Dusheti Draw Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Aragvi Dusheti 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWWDLL

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLLLL

Head-to-head

Aragvi Dusheti 1–1–2 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi (4 last)

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi1-1Aragvi Dusheti
Aragvi Dusheti2-1Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi4-1Aragvi Dusheti
Aragvi Dusheti2-4Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aragvi Dusheti 1513 · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1471

	Aragvi Dusheti	Draw	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aragvi Dusheti (rating 1513 vs 1471).
H2H favours Odishi 1919 Zugdidi: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aragvi Dusheti	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.40

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +62’	1.95	3.40	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aragvi Dusheti 1–1–2 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Georgia First League	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-1 HT 1-1	Aragvi Dusheti
22/04/26 Georgia First League	Aragvi Dusheti	2-1 HT 0-0	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
27/08/25 Georgia Liga 3	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	4-1 HT 2-0	Aragvi Dusheti
27/03/25 Georgia Liga 3	Aragvi Dusheti	2-4 HT 1-3	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	25	13	8	4	33	26	47
2	FC Telavi	25	11	8	6	27	23	41
3	SFC Shturmi	25	10	9	6	27	22	39
4	Merani Martvili	25	9	7	9	28	28	34
5	FC Samtredia	25	10	4	11	43	39	34
6	FC Sioni Bolnisi	25	8	9	8	33	30	33
7	Aragvi Dusheti	25	9	5	11	28	35	32
8	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	25	7	7	11	27	36	28
9	FC Gori	25	6	8	11	25	32	26
10	Kolkheti Poti	25	5	9	11	32	32	24

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aragvi Dusheti	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Merani Martvili	1-3 L	0-0 D
SFC Shturmi	3-4 L	0-2 L
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Gori	1-0 W	2-3 L
FC Gareji	2-0 W	2-1 W
FC Samtredia	2-4 L	0-3 L
FC Telavi	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Sioni Bolnisi	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Aragvi Dusheti (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aragvi Dusheti

DDWLLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-2	1-3	8	2	L
06/09	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-2	3-4	3	4	L
30/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
22/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
15/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-2	2-4	4	4	L
22/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
17/06	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	2-2	3-2	1	6	W
13/06	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
29/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	5	1	D

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

WDLWWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
06/09	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-1	2-3	9	3	L
28/08	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
22/08	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
15/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
08/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
22/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
17/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
13/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	0	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aragvi Dusheti win (46%). Probabilities: Aragvi Dusheti 46%, draw 27%, Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 27%.

How many goals are expected in Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Aragvi Dusheti 1.6 · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.