Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 21/09, 00:00

Prediction: Cibao FC vs Universidad O&M

Team pages: Cibao FC · Universidad O&M

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Cibao FC1.79

Universidad O&M0.94

1X2

57% 25% 19%

Cibao FC Draw Universidad O&M

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cibao FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Universidad O&M 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cibao FC 4–2 Universidad O&M (6 last)

Cibao FC3-1Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M0-3Cibao FC
Cibao FC4-2Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M1-0Cibao FC
Cibao FC2-1Universidad O&M
Cibao FC0-1Universidad O&M

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cibao FC 1550 · Universidad O&M 1463

	Cibao FC	Draw	Universidad O&M
Our model	56%	25%	18%
Market	57%	24%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cibao FC (rating 1550 vs 1463).
H2H favours Cibao FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cibao FC	Universidad O&M
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.1 / 0.3	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.70

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:17 +15’	1.57	3.70	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cibao FC 4–0–2 Universidad O&M

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	3-1 HT 0-0	Universidad O&M
08/03/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-3 HT 0-1	Cibao FC
31/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	4-2 HT 2-0	Universidad O&M
14/01/26 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	1-0 HT 1-0	Cibao FC
22/11/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Cibao FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Universidad O&M
07/11/25 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup	Cibao FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Universidad O&M

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cibao FC	Universidad O&M
Moca FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico Vega Real	2-1 W	1-2 L
Delfines Del Este	0-1 L	1-0 W
Jarabacoa FC	2-0 W	4-0 W
Salcedo FC	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad O&M (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cibao FC

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
06/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-1	9	10	W
29/08	Atlantico FC Dominican Republic Liga	3-1	4-1	4	6	W
26/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
23/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
17/05	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	0	6	L
11/05	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
02/05	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	2	10	W
25/04	Atletico Pantoja Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	6	W

Universidad O&M

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
30/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
24/04	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/04	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-3	7	2	L
12/04	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
09/04	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
31/03	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cibao FC vs Universidad O&M?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cibao FC win (57%). Probabilities: Cibao FC 57%, draw 25%, Universidad O&M 19%.

How many goals are expected in Cibao FC vs Universidad O&M?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Cibao FC 1.79 · Universidad O&M 0.94), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cibao FC vs Universidad O&M?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.