Football · France Ligue 1 · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Nice vs Strasbourg

Team pages: Nice · Strasbourg

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Nice1.44
Strasbourg1.25
1X2
41% 27% 32%
Nice Draw Strasbourg
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Nice 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DDDLDDLDLW
Strasbourg 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLWWDL
Head-to-head
Nice 3–2–1 Strasbourg (6 last)
  • Strasbourg0-2Nice
  • Strasbourg3-1Nice
  • Nice1-1Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg2-2Nice
  • Nice2-1Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg1-3Nice
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nice 1505 · Strasbourg 1476
NiceDrawStrasbourg
Our model40%28%31%
Market41%27%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nice: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NiceStrasbourg
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 12.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.11.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nice 3–2–1 Strasbourg

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
France Cup
Strasbourg0-2
HT 0-0
Nice
04/04/26
France Ligue 1
Strasbourg3-1
HT 3-0
Nice
03/01/26
France Ligue 1
Nice1-1
HT 0-1
Strasbourg
12/04/25
France Ligue 1
Strasbourg2-2
HT 0-1
Nice
24/11/24
France Ligue 1
Nice2-1
HT 0-1
Strasbourg
28/04/24
France Ligue 1
Strasbourg1-3
HT 1-1
Nice

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monaco 5410 8313
2 Lyon 5320 10211
3 Paris FC 5320 8311
4 Lille 5311 8410
5 Rennes 5311 8910
6 PSG 5221 878
7 Angers 5212 657
8 Strasbourg 5212 10107
9 Le Mans 5131 996
10 Auxerre 5203 7126
11 Brest 5122 785
12 Lorient 5122 565
13 Toulouse 5122 795
14 Nice 5122 365
15 Lens 5113 994
16 Troyes 5113 4114
17 Marseille 5104 783
18 Le Havre 5023 472

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNiceStrasbourg
Paris FC 0-3 L 1-2 L
Lorient 0-0 D 3-2 W
Lens 1-1 D 2-1 W
Marseille 1-1 D 0-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Strasbourg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nice

DDDLDDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Lille
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-1 34 W
12/09 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-1 82 L
05/09 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-1 54 D
30/08 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-3 41 L
22/08 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 91 D
17/05 Metz
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 103 D
10/05 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-2 11 L
02/05 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 76 D
26/04 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 15 D
18/04 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 33 D

Strasbourg

WLDWWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 05 L
12/09 Monaco
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 22 D
06/09 Troyes
France Ligue 1
2-1 6-2 02 W
29/08 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-1 34 W
21/08 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-4 44 L
17/05 Monaco
France Ligue 1
1-3 5-4 43 W
13/05 Brest
France Ligue 1
2-1 2-1 41 W
10/05 Angers
France Ligue 1
1-0 1-1 24 D
03/05 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-2 84 L
26/04 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-1 3-2 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nice vs Strasbourg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nice win (41%). Probabilities: Nice 41%, draw 27%, Strasbourg 32%.

How many goals are expected in Nice vs Strasbourg?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Nice 1.44 · Strasbourg 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nice vs Strasbourg?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.