Prediction: Lorient vs Paris FC
Team pages: Lorient · Paris FC
- Lorient1-1Paris FC
- Lorient2-0Paris FC
- Paris FC2-0Lorient
- Paris FC3-2Lorient
- Lorient2-0Paris FC
- Lorient2-1Paris FC
| Lorient | Draw | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lorient: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lorient | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorient 3–1–2 Paris FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 04/02/26 France Cup | Lorient | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 03/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Lorient |
| 08/03/25 France Ligue 2 | Paris FC | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Lorient |
| 14/12/24 France Ligue 2 | Lorient | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Paris FC |
| 09/02/21 France Cup | Lorient | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Paris FC |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | PSG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Nice | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Metz | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| PSG | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Strasbourg | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Marseille | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Paris FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Paris FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorient vs Paris FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Paris FC win (41%). Probabilities: Lorient 31%, draw 28%, Paris FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Lorient vs Paris FC?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Lorient 1.2 · Paris FC 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Paris FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.