Prediction: Lens vs Lyon
- Lyon0-4Lens
- Lyon2-2Lens
- Lens0-1Lyon
- Lyon1-2Lens
- Lens0-0Lyon
- Lyon0-3Lens
| Lens | Draw | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lens: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lens | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.1 | 3.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lens 3–2–1 Lyon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Lens |
| 05/03/26 France Cup | Lyon | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Lens |
| 16/08/25 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lyon |
| 04/05/25 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lens |
| 15/09/24 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lyon |
| 03/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Lens |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | PSG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lens | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 5-2 W | 3-1 W |
| PSG | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
Lyon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 20 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lens vs Lyon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lens win (42%). Probabilities: Lens 42%, draw 26%, Lyon 32%.
How many goals are expected in Lens vs Lyon?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Lens 1.76 · Lyon 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lens vs Lyon?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

