Football · France Ligue 1 · 10/10, 20:45

Prediction: Brest vs Angers

Team pages: Brest · Angers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Brest1.74
Angers1.19
1X2
49% 26% 25%
Brest Draw Angers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Brest 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLDDDWLL
Angers 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLLDDLWLDW
Head-to-head
Brest 4–1–1 Angers (6 last)
  • Brest1-1Angers
  • Angers0-2Brest
  • Brest2-0Angers
  • Angers2-0Brest
  • Brest1-0Angers
  • Brest4-0Angers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brest 1457 · Angers 1506
BrestDrawAngers
Our model49%26%25%
Market49%26%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angers (rating 1457 vs 1506).
  • H2H favours Brest: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrestAngers
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.91 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.42.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.13.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brest 4–1–1 Angers

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
France Ligue 1
Brest1-1
HT 0-0
Angers
28/09/25
France Ligue 1
Angers0-2
HT 0-2
Brest
09/03/25
France Ligue 1
Brest2-0
HT 1-0
Angers
05/01/25
France Ligue 1
Angers2-0
HT 1-0
Brest
06/01/24
France Cup
Brest1-0
HT 0-0
Angers
29/01/23
France Ligue 1
Brest4-0
HT 2-0
Angers

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monaco 5410 8313
2 Lyon 5320 10211
3 Paris FC 5320 8311
4 Lille 5311 8410
5 Rennes 5311 8910
6 PSG 5221 878
7 Angers 5212 657
8 Strasbourg 5212 10107
9 Le Mans 5131 996
10 Auxerre 5203 7126
11 Brest 5122 785
12 Lorient 5122 565
13 Toulouse 5122 795
14 Nice 5122 365
15 Lens 5113 994
16 Troyes 5113 4114
17 Marseille 5104 783
18 Le Havre 5023 472

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrestAngers
Auxerre 1-2 L 3-1 W
PSG 0-1 L 0-3 L
Le Havre 2-1 W 0-0 D
Strasbourg 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brest

DLLLDDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-0 1-2 32 L
13/09 PSG
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-1 33 L
05/09 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-1 53 W
29/08 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-2 75 D
22/08 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-2 102 D
17/05 Angers
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 62 D
13/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-2 51 L
10/05 PSG
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-1 20 L
03/05 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-4 33 L
24/04 Lens
France Ligue 1
3-0 3-3 04 D

Angers

DLLDDLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Troyes
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
12/09 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
06/09 Rennes
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-2 122 L
29/08 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 3-1 105 W
23/08 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-2 84 L
17/05 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 32 D
10/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-1 04 D
03/05 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-3 66 L
25/04 PSG
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-3 52 L
18/04 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-1 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brest vs Angers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brest win (49%). Probabilities: Brest 49%, draw 26%, Angers 25%.

How many goals are expected in Brest vs Angers?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Brest 1.74 · Angers 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brest vs Angers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.