Prediction: Union Minas vs Union Comercio
Team pages: Union Minas · Union Comercio
| Union Minas | Draw | Union Comercio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Minas | Union Comercio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.8 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 2 | Ayacucho FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Pirata FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Minas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
3-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/05 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Union Comercio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Minas vs Union Comercio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Minas win (44%). Probabilities: Union Minas 44%, draw 30%, Union Comercio 26%.
How many goals are expected in Union Minas vs Union Comercio?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Union Minas 1.24 · Union Comercio 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Minas vs Union Comercio?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.