Football · Peru Liga 2 · 11/10, 18:00

Prediction: CD Universidad San Martin vs Bentin Tacna Heroica

Team pages: CD Universidad San Martin · Bentin Tacna Heroica

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
CD Universidad San Martin1.47
Bentin Tacna Heroica1.31
1X2
40% 28% 33%
CD Universidad San Martin Draw Bentin Tacna Heroica
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Universidad San Martin 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLDLW
Bentin Tacna Heroica 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWLWDDD
Head-to-head
CD Universidad San Martin 1–1 Bentin Tacna Heroica (2 last)
  • Bentin Tacna Heroica2-0CD Universidad San Martin
  • CD Universidad San Martin2-1Bentin Tacna Heroica
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universidad San Martin 1503 · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1548
CD Universidad San MartinDrawBentin Tacna Heroica
Our model40%28%33%
Market40%28%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bentin Tacna Heroica (rating 1503 vs 1548).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Universidad San MartinBentin Tacna Heroica
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.81.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.70.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/10/30%10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.12.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.14.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universidad San Martin 1–0–1 Bentin Tacna Heroica

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/25
Peru Liga 2
Bentin Tacna Heroica2-0
HT 1-0
CD Universidad San Martin
27/04/25
Peru Liga 2
CD Universidad San Martin2-1
HT 2-0
Bentin Tacna Heroica

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Carlos Manucci 2110 706
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 2020 223
3 CD Universidad San Martin 2101 283
4 Alianza Universidad 2011 341

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Universidad San MartinBentin Tacna Heroica
Alianza Universidad 2-1 W 2-2 D
Carlos Manucci 0-7 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universidad San Martin

WLWLWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
2-0 2-1 48 W
26/09 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-3 0-7 22 L
13/09 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
1-1 2-2 33 D
06/09 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 54 L
29/08 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 55 W
16/08 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
2-0 3-1 16 W
01/08 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-3 –– L
25/07 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 32 W
20/07 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
2-1 2-3 88 L
31/05 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
2-0 4-0 69 W

Bentin Tacna Heroica

WWWDWLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/10 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 95 D
27/09 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 44 D
12/09 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-1 75 D
30/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-1 47 W
24/08 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 56 L
16/08 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 74 W
09/08 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 –– D
26/07 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-0 51 W
19/07 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
1-1 2-1 78 W
30/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universidad San Martin vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Universidad San Martin win (40%). Probabilities: CD Universidad San Martin 40%, draw 28%, Bentin Tacna Heroica 33%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universidad San Martin vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

The model expects 2.78 goals (CD Universidad San Martin 1.47 · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1.31), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universidad San Martin vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.