Prediction: Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC
Team pages: Union Comercio · Ayacucho FC
- Ayacucho FC2-1Union Comercio
- Union Comercio3-0Ayacucho FC
- Ayacucho FC1-1Union Comercio
- Union Comercio0-1Ayacucho FC
- Union Comercio3-1Ayacucho FC
- Ayacucho FC1-1Union Comercio
| Union Comercio | Draw | Ayacucho FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Comercio (rating 1522 vs 1474).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Comercio | Ayacucho FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.2 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 4.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Comercio 2–2–2 Ayacucho FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/22 Peru Play-Offs | Ayacucho FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Union Comercio |
| 06/11/22 Peru Play-Offs | Union Comercio | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Ayacucho FC |
| 19/10/19 Peru Liga 1 | Ayacucho FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Union Comercio |
| 04/05/19 Peru Liga 1 | Union Comercio | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ayacucho FC |
| 04/10/18 Peru Liga 1 | Union Comercio | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Ayacucho FC |
| 21/07/18 Peru Liga 1 | Ayacucho FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Union Comercio |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 2 | Union Minas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Pirata FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ayacucho FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Comercio | Ayacucho FC |
|---|---|---|
| Union Minas | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Pirata FC | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Comercio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 13 | L |
| 27/09 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
Ayacucho FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 18/07 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/06 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Comercio win (63%). Probabilities: Union Comercio 63%, draw 24%, Ayacucho FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Union Comercio 1.77 · Ayacucho FC 0.69), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.