Football · Peru Liga 2 · 11/10, 22:15

Prediction: Comerciantes FC vs Club Ada Jaen

Team pages: Comerciantes FC · Club Ada Jaen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Comerciantes FC1.37
Club Ada Jaen0.88
1X2
48% 29% 23%
Comerciantes FC Draw Club Ada Jaen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Comerciantes FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDDDLWLL
Club Ada Jaen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWLDLWWDW
Head-to-head
Comerciantes FC 0–2–0 Club Ada Jaen (2 last)
  • Club Ada Jaen2-2Comerciantes FC
  • Comerciantes FC1-1Club Ada Jaen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Comerciantes FC 1474 · Club Ada Jaen 1511
Comerciantes FCDrawClub Ada Jaen
Our model47%30%23%
Market48%28%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Comerciantes FCClub Ada Jaen
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.50.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4.6 / 5.72 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.33.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes FC 0–2–0 Club Ada Jaen

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/25
Peru Liga 2
Club Ada Jaen2-2
HT 0-1
Comerciantes FC
26/07/25
Peru Liga 2
Comerciantes FC1-1
HT 0-0
Club Ada Jaen

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Llacuabamba 2110 405
2 Club Ada Jaen 2110 104
3 Sport Huancayo II 2101 113
4 Comerciantes FC 2002 052

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentComerciantes FCClub Ada Jaen
Deportivo Llacuabamba 0-4 L 0-0 D
Sport Huancayo II 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club Ada Jaen (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Comerciantes FC

DWLDDDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/10 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-2 0-4 –– L
25/09 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 103 L
04/09 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 5-1 76 W
29/08 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 –– L
22/08 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-1 2-2 72 D
15/08 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 62 D
09/08 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 –– D
01/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 25 L
24/07 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 –– W
18/07 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 23 D

Club Ada Jaen

LDWLDLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/10 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 23 W
25/09 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 –– D
13/09 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 72 W
05/09 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 44 W
16/08 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-2 1-3 86 L
08/08 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 –– D
02/08 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 –– L
26/07 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
2-1 3-1 53 W
19/07 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 67 D
31/05 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 21 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Comerciantes FC vs Club Ada Jaen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Comerciantes FC win (48%). Probabilities: Comerciantes FC 48%, draw 29%, Club Ada Jaen 23%.

How many goals are expected in Comerciantes FC vs Club Ada Jaen?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Comerciantes FC 1.37 · Club Ada Jaen 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Comerciantes FC vs Club Ada Jaen?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.