Football · Peru Liga 2 · 12/10, 18:00

Prediction: Pirata FC vs Union Minas

Team pages: Pirata FC · Union Minas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Pirata FC1.64
Union Minas1.51
1X2
39% 27% 34%
Pirata FC Draw Union Minas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pirata FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDLDLDLW
Union Minas 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDWDWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pirata FC 1474 · Union Minas 1558
Pirata FCDrawUnion Minas
Our model40%26%34%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Minas (rating 1474 vs 1558).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pirata FCUnion Minas
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.62.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.82.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.34.9 / 1.1

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Union Comercio 211 345
2 Union Minas 211 424
3 Pirata FC 211 223
4 Ayacucho FC 211 123

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPirata FCUnion Minas
Ayacucho FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Union Comercio 0-2 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pirata FC

WWLDLDLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-0 67 W
27/09 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 33 L
13/09 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 25 D
07/09 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
1-2 2-4 33 L
23/08 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-1 –– D
17/08 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 36 L
09/08 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-1 –– D
26/07 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
1-2 1-3 33 L
20/07 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
1-2 3-2 78 W
01/06 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-1 35 W

Union Minas

LWWWDWDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
1-1 4-1 1113 W
26/09 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 33 L
12/09 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-0 44 W
06/09 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 35 D
30/08 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-1 38 W
22/08 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-2 32 D
15/08 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 3-1 56 W
07/08 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
3-0 8-1 –– W
24/07 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-0 35 W
19/07 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-2 18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pirata FC vs Union Minas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pirata FC win (39%). Probabilities: Pirata FC 39%, draw 27%, Union Minas 34%.

How many goals are expected in Pirata FC vs Union Minas?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Pirata FC 1.64 · Union Minas 1.51), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pirata FC vs Union Minas?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.