Football · Peru Liga 2 · 06/10, 18:00

Prediction: Pirata FC vs Ayacucho FC

Team pages: Pirata FC · Ayacucho FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Pirata FC1.66
Ayacucho FC1.31
1X2
44% 27% 28%
Pirata FC Draw Ayacucho FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pirata FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLDLDLDL
Ayacucho FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWWLWLLW
Head-to-head
Pirata FC 3–3 Ayacucho FC (6 last)
  • Pirata FC3-1Ayacucho FC
  • Ayacucho FC4-1Pirata FC
  • Ayacucho FC2-1Pirata FC
  • Pirata FC2-0Ayacucho FC
  • Ayacucho FC2-1Pirata FC
  • Pirata FC3-1Ayacucho FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pirata FC 1444 · Ayacucho FC 1506
Pirata FCDrawAyacucho FC
Our model45%26%29%
Market44%28%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ayacucho FC (rating 1444 vs 1506).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pirata FCAyacucho FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.71.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.52.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.13.9 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirata FC 3–0–3 Ayacucho FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/09/24
Peru Liga 2
Pirata FC3-1
HT 3-0
Ayacucho FC
11/08/24
Peru Liga 2
Ayacucho FC4-1
HT 3-1
Pirata FC
17/08/23
Peru Liga 2
Ayacucho FC2-1
HT 1-0
Pirata FC
25/05/23
Peru Liga 2
Pirata FC2-0
HT 2-0
Ayacucho FC
15/11/19
Peru Liga 1
Ayacucho FC2-1
HT 0-0
Pirata FC
01/06/19
Peru Liga 1
Pirata FC3-1
HT 0-1
Ayacucho FC

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 1

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Union Comercio 110 205
2 Ayacucho FC 110 103
3 Union Minas 101 011
4 Pirata FC 101 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pirata FC

LWWLDLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 33 L
13/09 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 25 D
07/09 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
1-2 2-4 33 L
23/08 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-1 –– D
17/08 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 36 L
09/08 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-1 –– D
26/07 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
1-2 1-3 33 L
20/07 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
1-2 3-2 78 W
01/06 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-1 35 W
24/05 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 43 L

Ayacucho FC

DLWWWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 73 W
12/09 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 84 L
04/09 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-5 36 L
22/08 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
2-1 7-1 –– W
15/08 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-3 26 L
09/08 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 –– W
02/08 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-1 3-0 –– W
26/07 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 78 W
18/07 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
1-2 2-3 21 L
01/06 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 33 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pirata FC vs Ayacucho FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pirata FC win (44%). Probabilities: Pirata FC 44%, draw 27%, Ayacucho FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Pirata FC vs Ayacucho FC?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Pirata FC 1.66 · Ayacucho FC 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pirata FC vs Ayacucho FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.